Naylor Rochelle N, John Priya M, Winn Aaron N, Carmody David, Greeley Siri Atma W, Philipson Louis H, Bell Graeme I, Huang Elbert S
Corresponding author: Rochelle N. Naylor,
Diabetes Care. 2014;37(1):202-9. doi: 10.2337/dc13-0410. Epub 2013 Sep 11.
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of a genetic testing policy for HNF1A-, HNF4A-, and GCK-MODY in a hypothetical cohort of type 2 diabetic patients 25-40 years old with a MODY prevalence of 2%. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS We used a simulation model of type 2 diabetes complications based on UK Prospective Diabetes Study data, modified to account for the natural history of disease by genetic subtype to compare a policy of genetic testing at diabetes diagnosis versus a policy of no testing. Under the screening policy, successful sulfonylurea treatment of HNF1A-MODY and HNF4A-MODY was modeled to produce a glycosylated hemoglobin reduction of -1.5% compared with usual care. GCK-MODY received no therapy. Main outcome measures were costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) based on lifetime risk of complications and treatments, expressed as the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) (USD/QALY). RESULTS The testing policy yielded an average gain of 0.012 QALYs and resulted in an ICER of 205,000 USD. Sensitivity analysis showed that if the MODY prevalence was 6%, the ICER would be ~50,000 USD. If MODY prevalence was >30%, the testing policy was cost saving. Reducing genetic testing costs to 700 USD also resulted in an ICER of ~50,000 USD. CONCLUSIONS Our simulated model suggests that a policy of testing for MODY in selected populations is cost-effective for the U.S. based on contemporary ICER thresholds. Higher prevalence of MODY in the tested population or decreased testing costs would enhance cost-effectiveness. Our results make a compelling argument for routine coverage of genetic testing in patients with high clinical suspicion of MODY.
在一个假设的25 - 40岁2型糖尿病患者队列中,评估针对肝细胞核因子1α(HNF1A)、肝细胞核因子4α(HNF4A)和葡萄糖激酶(GCK) - 成年发病型糖尿病(MODY)的基因检测策略的成本效益,该队列中MODY患病率为2%。研究设计与方法:我们使用了一个基于英国前瞻性糖尿病研究数据的2型糖尿病并发症模拟模型,并根据基因亚型对疾病自然史进行了修正,以比较糖尿病诊断时进行基因检测的策略与不进行检测的策略。在筛查策略下,模拟成功使用磺脲类药物治疗HNF1A - MODY和HNF4A - MODY,与常规治疗相比,糖化血红蛋白降低1.5%。GCK - MODY不接受治疗。主要结局指标是基于并发症和治疗的终身风险的成本和质量调整生命年(QALY),以增量成本效益比(ICER)(美元/QALY)表示。结果:检测策略平均获得0.012个QALY,ICER为205,000美元。敏感性分析表明,如果MODY患病率为6%,ICER将约为50,000美元。如果MODY患病率>30%,检测策略可节省成本。将基因检测成本降至700美元也会使ICER约为50,000美元。结论:我们的模拟模型表明,基于当代ICER阈值,在美国选定人群中对MODY进行检测的策略具有成本效益。检测人群中MODY患病率较高或检测成本降低将提高成本效益。我们的结果有力地支持了对高度怀疑MODY的患者进行基因检测的常规覆盖。