Dunlap Riley E, Jacques Peter J
Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, OK, USA.
Am Behav Sci. 2013 Jun;57(6):699-731. doi: 10.1177/0002764213477096.
The conservative movement and especially its think tanks play a critical role in denying the reality and significance of anthropogenic global warming (AGW), especially by manufacturing uncertainty over climate science. Books denying AGW are a crucial means of attacking climate science and scientists, and we examine the links between conservative think tanks (CTTs) and 108 climate change denial books published through 2010. We find a strong link, albeit noticeably weaker for the growing number of self-published denial books. We also examine the national origins of the books and the academic backgrounds of their authors or editors, finding that with the help of American CTTs climate change denial has spread to several other nations and that an increasing portion of denial books are produced by individuals with no scientific training. It appears that at least 90% of denial books do not undergo peer review, allowing authors or editors to recycle scientifically unfounded claims that are then amplified by the conservative movement, media, and political elites.
保守主义运动，尤其是其智囊团，在否认人为全球变暖（AGW）的现实和重要性方面发挥了关键作用，特别是通过制造气候科学的不确定性来达到这一目的。否认AGW的书籍是攻击气候科学和科学家的重要手段，我们研究了保守派智囊团（CTTs）与截至2010年出版的108本气候变化否认书籍之间的联系。我们发现它们之间存在紧密联系，尽管对于越来越多的自费出版的否认书籍来说，这种联系明显较弱。我们还研究了这些书籍的国家来源以及其作者或编辑的学术背景，发现在美国CTTs的帮助下，气候变化否认论已蔓延到其他几个国家，而且越来越多的否认书籍是由没有科学训练的个人撰写的。似乎至少90%的否认书籍没有经过同行评审，这使得作者或编辑能够反复宣扬毫无科学依据的观点，而这些观点随后又被保守主义运动、媒体和政治精英进一步放大。
