Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, UK.
BMC Public Health. 2013 Aug 9;13:739. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-13-739.
Infectious intestinal disease (IID) is a major health and economic burden in high-income countries. In the UK, there are an estimated 17 million IID cases annually, of which 6 million are caused by the 12 most common pathogens. Host factors that influence risk of IID are not well understood.
We analyzed data from the IID2 Study, a UK cohort that measured IID incidence, to investigate factors associated with recurrent IID. We calculated rates of IID by age group, sex, previous episodes experienced, and socioecomic indicators. We used Cox models to investigate factors associated with recurrent illness.
The rate of IID was five times higher among infants than those aged 65 years and above (hazard ratio, HR = 5.0, 95% CI: 3.1 - 8.0). However, the association between previous IID and a subsequent IID episode was stronger in the elderly. Among those aged 65 years and above, each additional IID episode increased the rate of subsequent IID three-fold (HR = 3.1, 95% CI: 2.5 - 3.7). Among infants, the corresponding increase was 1.7-fold (HR = 1.7, 95% CI: 1.3 - 2.3).
Elderly populations have a high propensity for recurrent IID. More detailed studies are needed to identify vulnerable subgroups and susceptibility factors, and inform adequate control policies among the elderly.
传染性肠道疾病(IID)是高收入国家的主要健康和经济负担。在英国,估计每年有 1700 万例 IID 病例,其中 600 万例由 12 种最常见的病原体引起。影响 IID 风险的宿主因素尚不清楚。
我们分析了 IID2 研究的数据,这是一项英国队列研究,测量了 IID 的发病率,以调查与复发性 IID 相关的因素。我们按年龄组、性别、既往发作次数和社会经济指标计算 IID 的发生率。我们使用 Cox 模型调查与复发性疾病相关的因素。
婴儿的 IID 发病率是 65 岁以上人群的五倍(危险比,HR = 5.0,95%CI:3.1-8.0)。然而,既往 IID 与随后的 IID 发作之间的关联在老年人中更强。在 65 岁及以上人群中,每增加一次 IID 发作,随后发生 IID 的几率增加三倍(HR = 3.1,95%CI:2.5-3.7)。在婴儿中,相应的增加幅度为 1.7 倍(HR = 1.7,95%CI:1.3-2.3)。
老年人群复发性 IID 的倾向较高。需要进行更详细的研究,以确定脆弱亚组和易感因素,并为老年人制定适当的控制政策。