Environmental Health Directorate, Health Protection Branch, Department of National Health and Welfare, Bureau of Chemical Hazards, K1A OL2, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Environ Monit Assess. 1982 Mar;2(1-2):71-83. doi: 10.1007/BF00399156.
Factors influencing the contribution made by drinking water to an individual's exposure to chemical contaminants are reviewed. Deficiencies inherent in simple computational procedures (such as those which rely on the impact of 'average' values to estimate the relative importance of air, food and water and other vehicles by which man is exposed to contaminants) are examined. An alternative approach is described in which a mathematical model incorporating a probabilistic approach is used to predict the distribution of the total exposure of a population. Values of the means and standard deviations for various quantities including contaminant concentrations and food and drinking water intake are used as inputs to the model. The model enables estimations to be made of the proportion of individuals whose exposure exceeds a certain critical value and the relative contribution each exposure pathway makes to the overall distribution of exposure; its versatility is illustrated utilizing data available for lead. The paper also includes a critical assessment of the value of various techniques employed for monitoring drinking water supplies in providing data suitable for exposure assessment and summarizes conclusions from a recent survey of Canadian drinking water consumption habits.
本文回顾了影响饮用水对个体接触化学污染物贡献的因素。还检查了简单计算程序(例如那些依赖“平均值”来估计空气、食物和水以及其他人类接触污染物的途径的相对重要性的程序)所固有的缺陷。本文还描述了一种替代方法,该方法使用包含概率方法的数学模型来预测人群总暴露的分布。将各种数量(包括污染物浓度和食物及饮用水摄入量)的均值和标准差的值用作模型的输入。该模型可以估算暴露超过某个临界值的个体比例以及每个暴露途径对总暴露分布的相对贡献;利用可用于铅的数据说明了其多功能性。本文还对用于监测饮用水供应以提供适合暴露评估的数据的各种技术进行了价值评估,并总结了最近对加拿大饮用水消费习惯的调查得出的结论。