State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, People's Republic of China ; Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Hangzhou, People's Republic of China.
Clin Interv Aging. 2013;8:1519-25. doi: 10.2147/CIA.S53657. Epub 2013 Nov 19.
The aims of this study were to systematically review epidemiological characteristics in older people living with human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS) (PLWHA) in low endemic areas of the People's Republic of China, analyze the causes of death and mortality, and provide a basis for targeted prevention in these populations.
Nine counties representative of the distribution and epidemiological factors of the HIV epidemic in Zhejiang Province were selected, and data from 1,115 HIV-positive individuals, including 196 older people (≥50 years), who were confirmed as PLWHA from January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2012, were retrospectively analyzed.
The proportion of older PLWHA increased from 0% in 2000 to 22.45% in 2012. Sexual transmission was the main route, accounting for 82.65% of infections in this group. Compared with the younger group (range from 14 to 49 years old), the older group had significantly lower CD4+ cell counts (291.64 versus 363.63; P<0.001) when first diagnosed, and more of this group presented in the AIDS state with opportunistic infections (51.02% versus 34.06%; P<0.001). In the older group, 25 (12.76%) patients died directly of AIDS and 171 (87.24%) were censored, and in the younger group 50 (5.44%) patients died directly of AIDS and 869 (94.56%) were censored. Estimated survival time since HIV diagnosis in the older group was 11.54±0.49 years (95% confidence interval [CI] 10.59-12.50), while in the younger group it was 13.85±0.46 years (95% CI 12.94-14.76), the log rank (Mantel-Cox) test gave a chi-square value of 3.83, and there was significant difference between the groups (P<0.05).
The number of older PLWHA increased steadily over the study period in low HIV endemic provinces of a developing country. Later discovery and preexisting disease perhaps contributed to a shorter estimated survival time for older PLWHA and higher mortality.
本研究旨在系统综述中国低流行地区老年人类免疫缺陷病毒/获得性免疫缺陷综合征(HIV/AIDS)(PLWHA)的流行病学特征,分析其死亡原因和死亡率,为该人群提供有针对性的防治依据。
选择浙江省具有代表性的 HIV 流行分布和流行因素的 9 个县,回顾性分析 2000 年 1 月 1 日至 2012 年 12 月 31 日期间确诊为 PLWHA 的 1115 例 HIV 阳性者,包括 196 例≥50 岁的老年人。
老年 PLWHA 的比例从 2000 年的 0%增加到 2012 年的 22.45%。性传播是主要的传播途径,占本组感染者的 82.65%。与年轻组(14~49 岁)相比,老年组首次诊断时 CD4+细胞计数明显较低(291.64 对 363.63;P<0.001),更多患者处于 AIDS 状态合并机会性感染(51.02%对 34.06%;P<0.001)。老年组有 25 例(12.76%)患者直接死于艾滋病,171 例(87.24%)被删失,年轻组有 50 例(5.44%)患者直接死于艾滋病,869 例(94.56%)被删失。老年组 HIV 诊断后估计生存时间为 11.54±0.49 年(95%置信区间[CI] 10.59-12.50),年轻组为 13.85±0.46 年(95%CI 12.94-14.76),对数秩(Mantel-Cox)检验的卡方值为 3.83,两组差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。
在发展中国家的低 HIV 流行省份,老年 PLWHA 的数量在研究期间呈稳步上升趋势。较晚发现和并存疾病可能导致老年 PLWHA 的估计生存时间更短,死亡率更高。