Zwitser Robert J, Maris Gunter
Psychometric Research Center, Cito Institute for Educational Measurement, P.O. Box 1034, 6801 MG, Arnhem, The Netherlands,
Psychometrika. 2015 Mar;80(1):65-84. doi: 10.1007/s11336-013-9369-6. Epub 2013 Dec 6.
In this paper it is demonstrated how statistical inference from multistage test designs can be made based on the conditional likelihood. Special attention is given to parameter estimation, as well as the evaluation of model fit. Two reasons are provided why the fit of simple measurement models is expected to be better in adaptive designs, compared to linear designs: more parameters are available for the same number of observations; and undesirable response behavior, like slipping and guessing, might be avoided owing to a better match between item difficulty and examinee proficiency. The results are illustrated with simulated data, as well as with real data.
本文展示了如何基于条件似然对多阶段测试设计进行统计推断。特别关注了参数估计以及模型拟合的评估。给出了两个原因,说明与线性设计相比,在自适应设计中简单测量模型的拟合预计会更好:对于相同数量的观测值,有更多参数可用;并且由于题目难度与考生能力之间的更好匹配,可能避免不理想的反应行为,如失误和猜测。用模拟数据以及实际数据对结果进行了说明。