Gucciardi Daniel F, Jackson Ben
School of Physiotherapy and Exercise Science, Curtin University, Australia.
School of Sport Science, Exercise & Health, The University of Western Australia, Australia.
J Sci Med Sport. 2015 Jan;18(1):31-6. doi: 10.1016/j.jsams.2013.11.011. Epub 2013 Dec 12.
Fostering individuals' long-term participation in activities that promote positive development such as organised sport is an important agenda for research and practice. We integrated the theories of planned behaviour (TPB) and basic psychological needs (BPN) to identify factors associated with young adults' continuation in organised sport over a 12-month period.
Prospective study, including an online psycho-social assessment at Time 1 and an assessment of continuation in sport approximately 12 months later.
Participants (N=292) aged between 17 and 21 years (M=18.03; SD=1.29) completed an online survey assessing the theories of planned behaviour and basic psychological needs constructs. Bayesian structural equation modelling (BSEM) was employed to test the hypothesised theoretical sequence, using informative priors for structural relations based on empirical and theoretical expectations.
The analyses revealed support for the robustness of the hypothesised theoretical model in terms of the pattern of relations as well as the direction and strength of associations among the constructs derived from quantitative summaries of existing research and theoretical expectations. The satisfaction of basic psychological needs was associated with more positive attitudes, higher levels of perceived behavioural control, and more favourable subjective norms; positive attitudes and perceived behavioural control were associated with higher behavioural intentions; and both intentions and perceived behavioural control predicted sport continuation.
This study demonstrated the utility of Bayesian structural equation modelling for testing the robustness of an integrated theoretical model, which is informed by empirical evidence from meta-analyses and theoretical expectations, for understanding sport continuation.
促进个体长期参与有组织的体育运动等能推动积极发展的活动，是研究和实践的一项重要议程。我们整合了计划行为理论（TPB）和基本心理需求理论（BPN），以确定与年轻人在12个月内持续参与有组织体育运动相关的因素。
前瞻性研究，包括在时间1进行的在线心理社会评估，以及大约12个月后对体育运动持续参与情况的评估。
年龄在17至21岁之间（M = 18.03；SD = 1.29）的参与者（N = 292）完成了一项在线调查，评估计划行为理论和基本心理需求结构。采用贝叶斯结构方程建模（BSEM）来检验假设的理论序列，基于实证和理论预期为结构关系使用信息先验。
分析表明，从现有研究的定量总结和理论预期得出的结构之间的关系模式以及关联的方向和强度方面，假设的理论模型具有稳健性。基本心理需求的满足与更积极的态度、更高水平的感知行为控制以及更有利的主观规范相关；积极态度和感知行为控制与更高的行为意图相关；意图和感知行为控制都预测了运动持续参与情况。
本研究证明了贝叶斯结构方程建模在检验整合理论模型稳健性方面的效用，该模型以荟萃分析的实证证据和理论预期为依据，用于理解运动持续参与情况。
