Institute of Psychology & Courant Research Centre "Evolution of Social Behaviour", University of Göttingen, Germany.
Institute of Psychology & Courant Research Centre "Evolution of Social Behaviour", University of Göttingen, Germany.
Cognition. 2014 Apr;131(1):60-8. doi: 10.1016/j.cognition.2013.12.011. Epub 2014 Jan 19.
Inductive learning and reasoning, as we use it both in everyday life and in science, is characterized by flexible inferences based on statistical information: inferences from populations to samples and vice versa. Many forms of such statistical reasoning have been found to develop late in human ontogeny, depending on formal education and language, and to be fragile even in adults. New revolutionary research, however, suggests that even preverbal human infants make use of intuitive statistics. Here, we conducted the first investigation of such intuitive statistical reasoning with non-human primates. In a series of 7 experiments, Bonobos, Chimpanzees, Gorillas and Orangutans drew flexible statistical inferences from populations to samples. These inferences, furthermore, were truly based on statistical information regarding the relative frequency distributions in a population, and not on absolute frequencies. Intuitive statistics in its most basic form is thus an evolutionarily more ancient rather than a uniquely human capacity.
归纳学习和推理,无论是在日常生活中还是在科学中,其特点都是基于统计信息进行灵活推断:从总体推断到样本,反之亦然。许多形式的这种统计推理都被发现是在人类个体发育后期发展起来的,取决于正规教育和语言,即使在成年人中也很脆弱。然而,新的革命性研究表明,即使是前语言的人类婴儿也会利用直观的统计数据。在这里,我们首次对非人类灵长类动物进行了这种直观的统计推理研究。在一系列 7 项实验中,倭黑猩猩、黑猩猩、大猩猩和猩猩从总体推断到样本,进行了灵活的统计推断。此外,这些推断真正基于有关总体中相对频率分布的统计信息,而不是基于绝对频率。因此,最基本形式的直观统计是一种更古老的进化能力,而不是人类独有的能力。