Wang Xiang-Wen, Han Xiao-Pu, Wang Bing-Hong
Alibaba Research Center for Complexity Sciences, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou, China ; Department of Physics, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, Virginia, United States of America ; Department of Modern Physics, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, China.
Alibaba Research Center for Complexity Sciences, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou, China.
PLoS One. 2014 Jan 13;9(1):e84954. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0084954. eCollection 2014.
In recent years, several path-breaking findings on human mobility patterns point out a novel issue which is of important theoretical significance and great application prospects. The empirical analysis of the data which can reflect the real-world human mobility provides the basic cognition and verification of the theoretical models and predictive results on human mobility. One of the most noticeable findings in previous studies on human mobility is the wide-spread scaling anomalies, e.g. the power-law-like displacement distributions. Understanding the origin of these scaling anomalies is of central importance to this issue and therefore is the focus of our discussion.
METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: In this paper, we empirically analyze the real-world human movements which are based on GPS records, and observe rich scaling properties in the temporal-spatial patterns as well as an abnormal transition in the speed-displacement patterns together with an evidence to the real-world traffic jams. In addition, we notice that the displacements at the population level show a significant positive correlation, indicating a cascading-like nature in human movements. Furthermore, our analysis at the individual level finds that the displacement distributions of users with stronger correlations usually are closer to the power law, suggesting a correlation between the positive correlation of the displacement series and the form of an individual's displacement distribution.
CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: These empirical findings make connections between the two basic properties of human mobility, the scaling anomalies on displacement distributions and the positive correlations on displacement series, implying the cascading-like dynamics which is exhibited by the positive correlations would cause the emergence of scaling properties on human mobility patterns. Our findings would inspire further researches on mechanisms and predictions of human mobility.
近年来,关于人类移动模式的几项开创性发现指出了一个具有重要理论意义和巨大应用前景的新问题。对能够反映现实世界中人类移动的数据进行实证分析,为人类移动的理论模型和预测结果提供了基本认知和验证。此前关于人类移动的研究中最引人注目的发现之一是广泛存在的标度异常现象,例如类似幂律的位移分布。理解这些标度异常现象的起源对于这个问题至关重要,因此是我们讨论的焦点。
方法/主要发现:在本文中,我们基于全球定位系统(GPS)记录对现实世界中的人类移动进行了实证分析,观察到时空模式中丰富的标度特性,以及速度 - 位移模式中的异常转变,同时还有现实世界交通拥堵的证据。此外,我们注意到群体层面的位移呈现出显著的正相关,表明人类移动具有级联性质。此外,我们在个体层面的分析发现,相关性较强的用户的位移分布通常更接近幂律,这表明位移序列的正相关与个体位移分布形式之间存在关联。
结论/意义:这些实证发现建立了人类移动的两个基本属性之间的联系,即位移分布上的标度异常和位移序列上的正相关,这意味着正相关所表现出的级联动力学将导致人类移动模式中标度特性的出现。我们的发现将激发对人类移动机制和预测的进一步研究。