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边际结构模型在药物流行病学研究中的应用:一项系统评价。

Application of marginal structural models in pharmacoepidemiologic studies: a systematic review.

作者信息

Yang Shibing, Eaton Charles B, Lu Juan, Lapane Kate L

机构信息

Department of Family Medicine and Population Health, Division of Epidemiology, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA, USA.

出版信息

Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf. 2014 Jun;23(6):560-71. doi: 10.1002/pds.3569. Epub 2014 Jan 24.

Abstract

PURPOSE

We systematically reviewed pharmacoepidemiologic studies published in 2012 that used inverse probability weighted (IPW) estimation of marginal structural models (MSM) to estimate the effect from a time-varying treatment.

METHODS

Potential studies were retrieved through a citation search within Web of Science and a keyword search within PubMed. Eligibility of retrieved studies was independently assessed by at least two reviewers. One reviewer performed data extraction, and a senior epidemiologist confirmed the extracted information for all eligible studies.

RESULTS

Twenty pharmacoepidemiologic studies were eligible for data extraction. The majority of reviewed studies did not report whether the positivity assumption was checked. Six studies performed intention-to-treat analyses, but none of them reported adherence levels after treatment initiation. Eight studies chose an as-treated analytic strategy, but only one of them reported modeling the multiphase of treatment use. Almost all studies performing as-treated analyses chose the most recent treatment status as the functional form of exposure in the outcome model. Nearly half of the studies reported that the IPW estimate was substantially different from the estimate derived from a standard regression model.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of IPW method to control for time-varying confounding is increasing in medical literature. However, reporting of the application of the technique is variable and suboptimal. It may be prudent to develop best practices in reporting complex methods in epidemiologic research.

摘要

目的

我们系统回顾了2012年发表的药物流行病学研究,这些研究使用边际结构模型(MSM)的逆概率加权(IPW)估计来评估时变治疗的效果。

方法

通过在科学网内进行引文检索以及在PubMed内进行关键词检索来获取潜在研究。至少两名评审员独立评估检索到的研究的合格性。一名评审员进行数据提取,一名资深流行病学家对所有合格研究提取的信息进行确认。

结果

二十项药物流行病学研究符合数据提取要求。大多数综述研究未报告是否检查了阳性假设。六项研究进行了意向性分析,但均未报告治疗开始后的依从性水平。八项研究选择了接受治疗分析策略,但其中只有一项报告了对多阶段治疗使用情况进行建模。几乎所有进行接受治疗分析的研究都选择将最近的治疗状态作为结局模型中暴露的函数形式。近一半的研究报告称,IPW估计值与标准回归模型得出的估计值有很大差异。

结论

在医学文献中,使用IPW方法控制时变混杂因素的情况正在增加。然而,该技术应用的报告情况参差不齐且不够理想。在流行病学研究中制定报告复杂方法的最佳实践可能是谨慎之举。

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