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在中国广州,尘霾对死亡率的影响受季节和个体特征的影响而有所改变。

The effects of dust-haze on mortality are modified by seasons and individual characteristics in Guangzhou, China.

机构信息

Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, No. 160, Qunxian Road, Panyu District, Guangzhou 511430, China; Environment and Health, Guangdong Provincial Key Medical Discipline of Twelfth Five-Year Plan, Guangzhou 511430, China.

Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou 511430, China.

出版信息

Environ Pollut. 2014 Apr;187:116-23. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2013.12.027. Epub 2014 Jan 26.

Abstract

This study aimed to investigate the effects of dust-haze on mortality and to estimate the seasonal and individual-specific modification effects in Guangzhou, China. Mortality, air pollution and meteorological data were collected for 2006-2011. A dust-haze day was defined as daily visibility <10 km with relative humidity <90%. This definition was further divided into light (8-10 km), medium (5-8 km) and heavy dust-haze (<5 km). A distributed lag linear model (DLM) was employed. Light, medium and heavy dust-haze days were associated with increased mortality of 3.4%, 6.8% and 10.4% respectively, at a lag of 0-6 days. This effect was more pronounced during the cold season, for cardiovascular mortality (CVD), respiratory mortality (RESP), in males and people ≥60years. These effects became insignificant after adjustment for PM10. We concluded that dust-haze significantly increased mortality risk in Guangzhou, China, and this effect appears to be dominated by particulate mass and modified by season and individual-specific factors.

摘要

本研究旨在探讨灰霾天气对死亡率的影响,并估计中国广州的季节性和个体特异性修正效应。收集了 2006 年至 2011 年的死亡率、空气污染和气象数据。将灰霾日定义为每日能见度<10 公里,相对湿度<90%。该定义进一步分为轻(8-10 公里)、中(5-8 公里)和重灰霾(<5 公里)。采用分布式滞后线性模型(DLM)。轻度、中度和重度灰霾天气分别在滞后 0-6 天内导致死亡率增加 3.4%、6.8%和 10.4%。这种影响在寒冷季节、心血管疾病死亡率(CVD)、呼吸系统死亡率(RESP)和男性以及 60 岁以上人群中更为明显。调整 PM10 后,这些影响变得不显著。我们得出结论,灰霾天气显著增加了中国广州的死亡率风险,这种影响似乎主要由颗粒物质量主导,并受季节和个体特异性因素的修正。

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