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基于样条平滑的删失分位数剩余寿命模型分析

ANALYSIS ON CENSORED QUANTILE RESIDUAL LIFE MODEL VIA SPLINE SMOOTHING.

作者信息

Ma Yanyuan, Wei Ying

机构信息

Department of Statistics, Texas A&M University, 3143 TAMU, College Station, TX 77843-3143, U.S.A.

Department of Biostatistics, Columbia University, New York, NY, U.S.A.

出版信息

Stat Sin. 2012 Jan 1;22(1):47-68. doi: 10.5705/ss.2010.161.

Abstract

We propose a general class of quantile residual life models, where a specific quantile of the residual life time, conditional on an individual has survived up to time , is a function of certain covariates with their coefficients varying over time. The varying coefficients are assumed to be smooth unspecified functions of . We propose to estimate the coefficient functions using spline approximation. Incorporating the spline representation directly into a set of unbiased estimating equations, we obtain a one-step estimation procedure, and we show that this leads to a uniformly consistent estimator. To obtain further computational simplification, we propose a two-step estimation approach in which we estimate the coefficients on a series of time points first, and follow this with spline smoothing. We compare the two methods in terms of their asymptotic efficiency and computational complexity. We further develop inference tools to test the significance of the covariate effect on residual life. The finite sample performance of the estimation and testing procedures are further illustrated through numerical experiments. We also apply the methods to a data set from a neurological study.

摘要

我们提出了一类广义分位数剩余寿命模型,其中,在个体存活至时间(t)的条件下,剩余寿命时间的特定分位数是某些协变量的函数,其系数随时间变化。假设变化的系数是(t)的光滑未指定函数。我们建议使用样条近似来估计系数函数。将样条表示直接纳入一组无偏估计方程中,我们得到了一步估计程序,并且我们证明这会导致一个一致的估计量。为了进一步简化计算,我们提出了一种两步估计方法,其中我们首先在一系列时间点上估计系数,然后进行样条平滑。我们在渐近效率和计算复杂度方面比较了这两种方法。我们进一步开发了推断工具来检验协变量对剩余寿命影响的显著性。通过数值实验进一步说明了估计和检验程序的有限样本性能。我们还将这些方法应用于一项神经学研究的数据集。

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