Suppr超能文献

个体感染率存在差异的易感-接种-感染-康复流行病行为。

Behavior of susceptible-vaccinated-infected-recovered epidemics with diversity in the infection rate of individuals.

作者信息

Cai Chao-Ran, Wu Zhi-Xi, Guan Jian-Yue

机构信息

Institute of Computational Physics and Complex Systems, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, China.

出版信息

Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2013 Dec;88(6):062805. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.88.062805. Epub 2013 Dec 3.

Abstract

We study a susceptible-vaccinated-infected-recovered (SVIR) epidemic-spreading model with diversity of infection rate of the individuals. By means of analytical arguments as well as extensive computer simulations, we demonstrate that the heterogeneity in infection rate can either impede or accelerate the epidemic spreading, which depends on the amount of vaccinated individuals introduced in the population as well as the contact pattern among the individuals. Remarkably, as long as the individuals with different capability of acquiring the disease interact with unequal frequency, there always exist a cross point for the fraction of vaccinated, below which the diversity of infection rate hinders the epidemic spreading and above which expedites it. The overall results are robust to the SVIR dynamics defined on different population models; the possible applications of the results are discussed.

摘要

我们研究了一个具有个体感染率多样性的易感-接种-感染-康复(SVIR)流行病传播模型。通过分析论证以及广泛的计算机模拟,我们证明感染率的异质性既可能阻碍也可能加速流行病传播,这取决于人群中引入的接种个体数量以及个体之间的接触模式。值得注意的是,只要具有不同患病能力的个体以不同频率相互作用,接种个体的比例总会存在一个交叉点,低于该交叉点时感染率的多样性会阻碍流行病传播,高于该交叉点时则会加速传播。总体结果对于在不同人群模型上定义的SVIR动态是稳健的;我们还讨论了这些结果的可能应用。

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验