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颗粒物暴露对大西洋中部各州住院率的短期影响:一项人口估计。

Short term effects of particle exposure on hospital admissions in the Mid-Atlantic states: a population estimate.

作者信息

Kloog Itai, Nordio Francesco, Zanobetti Antonella, Coull Brent A, Koutrakis Petros, Schwartz Joel D

机构信息

Department of Geography and Environmental Development, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer Sheva, Israel ; Department of Environmental Health - Exposure, Epidemiology and Risk Program, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.

Department of Environmental Health - Exposure, Epidemiology and Risk Program, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2014 Feb 7;9(2):e88578. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0088578. eCollection 2014.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Many studies report significant associations between PM(2.5) (particulate matter <2.5 micrometers) and hospital admissions. These studies mostly rely on a limited number of monitors which introduces exposure error, and excludes rural and suburban populations from locations where monitors are not available, reducing generalizability and potentially creating selection bias.

METHODS

Using prediction models developed by our group, daily PM(2.5) exposure was estimated across the Mid-Atlantic (Washington D.C., and the states of Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Virginia, New York and West Virginia). We then investigated the short-term effects of PM(2.5)exposures on emergency hospital admissions of the elderly in the Mid-Atlantic region.We performed case-crossover analysis for each admission type, matching on day of the week, month and year and defined the hazard period as lag01 (a moving average of day of admission exposure and previous day exposure).

RESULTS

We observed associations between short-term exposure to PM(2.5) and hospitalization for all outcomes examined. For example, for every 10-µg/m(3) increase in short-term PM(2.5) there was a 2.2% increase in respiratory diseases admissions (95% CI = 1.9 to 2.6), and a 0.78% increase in cardiovascular disease (CVD) admission rate (95% CI = 0.5 to 1.0). We found differences in risk for CVD admissions between people living in rural and urban areas. For every10-µg/m(3) increase in PM(2.5) exposure in the 'rural' group there was a 1.0% increase (95% CI = 0.6 to 1.5), while for the 'urban' group the increase was 0.7% (95% CI = 0.4 to 1.0).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings showed that PM(2.5) exposure was associated with hospital admissions for all respiratory, cardio vascular disease, stroke, ischemic heart disease and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease admissions. In addition, we demonstrate that our AOD (Aerosol Optical Depth) based exposure models can be successfully applied to epidemiological studies investigating the health effects of short-term exposures to PM(2.5).

摘要

背景

许多研究报告了细颗粒物(PM2.5,直径小于2.5微米的颗粒物)与住院率之间存在显著关联。这些研究大多依赖数量有限的监测器,这会引入暴露误差,并且将没有监测器的农村和郊区人口排除在外,降低了研究的普遍性,还可能造成选择偏倚。

方法

利用我们团队开发的预测模型,估算了大西洋中部地区(华盛顿特区以及特拉华州、马里兰州、新泽西州、宾夕法尼亚州、弗吉尼亚州、纽约州和西弗吉尼亚州)的每日PM2.5暴露量。然后,我们调查了PM2.5暴露对大西洋中部地区老年人急诊住院的短期影响。我们针对每种住院类型进行了病例交叉分析,匹配了星期、月份和年份,并将危险期定义为滞后01期(入院当天暴露量与前一天暴露量的移动平均值)。

结果

我们观察到,在所研究的所有结果中,短期暴露于PM2.5与住院之间存在关联。例如,短期PM2.5每增加10微克/立方米,呼吸系统疾病入院率就增加2.2%(95%置信区间=1.9%至2.6%),心血管疾病(CVD)入院率增加0.78%(95%置信区间=0.5%至1.0%)。我们发现农村和城市居民的CVD入院风险存在差异。“农村”组中,PM2.5暴露每增加10微克/立方米,入院率增加1.0%(95%置信区间=0.6%至1.5%),而“城市”组的增加幅度为0.7%(95%置信区间=0.4%至1.0%)。

结论

我们的研究结果表明,暴露于PM2.5与所有呼吸系统、心血管疾病、中风、缺血性心脏病和慢性阻塞性肺疾病的住院率相关。此外,我们证明了基于气溶胶光学厚度(AOD)的暴露模型可以成功应用于调查短期暴露于PM2.5对健康影响的流行病学研究。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0962/3917892/44a724b3b6bf/pone.0088578.g001.jpg

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