Bright Jo-Anne, Taylor Duncan, Curran James, Buckleton John
Institute of Environmental Science and Research Limited, Private Bag 92021, Auckland 1142, New Zealand; Department of Statistics, University of Auckland, Private Bag 92019, Auckland 1142, New Zealand.
Forensic Science South Australia, 21 Divett Place, Adelaide, SA 5000, Australia.
Forensic Sci Int Genet. 2014 Mar;9:102-10. doi: 10.1016/j.fsigen.2013.12.001. Epub 2013 Dec 11.
DNA databases have revolutionised forensic science. They are a powerful investigative tool as they have the potential to identify persons of interest in criminal investigations. Routinely, a DNA profile generated from a crime sample could only be searched for in a database of individuals if the stain was from single contributor (single source) or if a contributor could unambiguously be determined from a mixed DNA profile. This meant that a significant number of samples were unsuitable for database searching. The advent of continuous methods for the interpretation of DNA profiles offers an advanced way to draw inferential power from the considerable investment made in DNA databases. Using these methods, each profile on the database may be considered a possible contributor to a mixture and a likelihood ratio (LR) can be formed. Those profiles which produce a sufficiently large LR can serve as an investigative lead. In this paper empirical studies are described to determine what constitutes a large LR. We investigate the effect on a database search of complex mixed DNA profiles with contributors in equal proportions with dropout as a consideration, and also the effect of an incorrect assignment of the number of contributors to a profile. In addition, we give, as a demonstration of the method, the results using two crime samples that were previously unsuitable for database comparison. We show that effective management of the selection of samples for searching and the interpretation of the output can be highly informative.
DNA数据库彻底改变了法医学。它们是强大的调查工具,因为有潜力识别刑事调查中的相关人员。通常情况下,只有当犯罪样本中的污渍来自单一贡献者(单源),或者能够从混合DNA图谱中明确确定贡献者时,从犯罪样本生成的DNA图谱才能在个体数据库中进行搜索。这意味着大量样本不适合进行数据库搜索。DNA图谱解读连续方法的出现,为从对DNA数据库的大量投资中汲取推理能力提供了一种先进方式。使用这些方法,数据库中的每个图谱都可被视为混合物的可能贡献者,并可形成似然比(LR)。那些产生足够大似然比的图谱可作为调查线索。本文描述了实证研究,以确定构成大似然比的因素。我们研究了在考虑存在缺失数据的情况下,复杂混合DNA图谱中贡献者比例相等时对数据库搜索的影响,以及对图谱中贡献者数量错误赋值的影响。此外,作为该方法的一个示例,我们给出了使用两个先前不适合进行数据库比对的犯罪样本的结果。我们表明,对搜索样本的选择和结果解读进行有效管理可提供高度有用的信息。