Chung Yuk-Ka, Fung Wing K
Department of Statistics and Actuaral Science, The University of Hongkong, China.
Sci Justice. 2011 Mar;51(1):10-5. doi: 10.1016/j.scijus.2010.07.002. Epub 2010 Aug 16.
We provide a unified overview on the evaluation of the evidentiary values of cold-hit DNA matches between profiles in a DNA database and a mixed crime sample. Also discussed are methods of handling missing data in evaluating the DNA evidence. Through the analysis of a constructed murder case using Swedish data, we illustrate the applicability of the methods on various situations including the presence of multiple matches and consideration of allele drop-out. We also demonstrate the calculation of the probability of erroneous attribution as a measure of the effectiveness of the database search on DNA mixtures.