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优化授精和替换决策以最小化奶牛特定病原体临床型乳房炎的成本。

Optimal insemination and replacement decisions to minimize the cost of pathogen-specific clinical mastitis in dairy cows.

作者信息

Cha E, Kristensen A R, Hertl J A, Schukken Y H, Tauer L W, Welcome F L, Gröhn Y T

机构信息

Section of Epidemiology, Department of Population Medicine and Diagnostic Sciences, College of Veterinary Medicine, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853.

HERD-Centre for Herd-Oriented Education, Research and Development, Department of Large Animal Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Grønnegårdsvej 2, DK-1870 Frederiksberg C, Copenhagen, Denmark.

出版信息

J Dairy Sci. 2014;97(4):2101-17. doi: 10.3168/jds.2013-7067. Epub 2014 Feb 15.

Abstract

Mastitis is a serious production-limiting disease, with effects on milk yield, milk quality, and conception rate, and an increase in the risk of mortality and culling. The objective of this study was 2-fold: (1) to develop an economic optimization model that incorporates all the different types of pathogens that cause clinical mastitis (CM) categorized into 8 classes of culture results, and account for whether the CM was a first, second, or third case in the current lactation and whether the cow had a previous case or cases of CM in the preceding lactation; and (2) to develop this decision model to be versatile enough to add additional pathogens, diseases, or other cow characteristics as more information becomes available without significant alterations to the basic structure of the model. The model provides economically optimal decisions depending on the individual characteristics of the cow and the specific pathogen causing CM. The net returns for the basic herd scenario (with all CM included) were $507/cow per year, where the incidence of CM (cases per 100 cow-years) was 35.6, of which 91.8% of cases were recommended for treatment under an optimal replacement policy. The cost per case of CM was $216.11. The CM cases comprised (incidences, %) Staphylococcus spp. (1.6), Staphylococcus aureus (1.8), Streptococcus spp. (6.9), Escherichia coli (8.1), Klebsiella spp. (2.2), other treated cases (e.g., Pseudomonas; 1.1), other not treated cases (e.g., Trueperella pyogenes; 1.2), and negative culture cases (12.7). The average cost per case, even under optimal decisions, was greatest for Klebsiella spp. ($477), followed by E. coli ($361), other treated cases ($297), and other not treated cases ($280). This was followed by the gram-positive pathogens; among these, the greatest cost per case was due to Staph. aureus ($266), followed by Streptococcus spp. ($174) and Staphylococcus spp. ($135); negative culture had the lowest cost ($115). The model recommended treatment for most CM cases (>85%); the range was 86.2% (Klebsiella spp.) to 98.5% (Staphylococcus spp.). In general, the optimal recommended time for replacement was up to 5 mo earlier for cows with CM compared with cows without CM. Furthermore, although the parameter estimates implemented in this model are applicable to the dairy farms in this study, the parameters may be altered to be specific to other dairy farms. Cow rankings and values based on disease status, pregnancy status, and milk production can be extracted; these provide guidance when determining which cows to keep or cull.

摘要

乳腺炎是一种严重限制生产的疾病,会影响产奶量、牛奶质量和受孕率,并增加死亡率和淘汰风险。本研究的目的有两个:(1)开发一种经济优化模型,该模型纳入导致临床乳腺炎(CM)的所有不同类型病原体,这些病原体根据培养结果分为8类,并考虑CM是当前泌乳期的首次、第二次还是第三次病例,以及该奶牛在前一泌乳期是否有过CM病例;(2)开发此决策模型,使其具有足够的通用性,以便在有更多信息时添加其他病原体、疾病或其他奶牛特征,而无需对模型的基本结构进行重大更改。该模型根据奶牛的个体特征和导致CM的特定病原体提供经济上最优的决策。基础牛群情景(包括所有CM病例)的年净收益为每头奶牛507美元,其中CM发病率(每100牛年的病例数)为35.6,在最优替换策略下,91.8%的病例建议进行治疗。每例CM病例的成本为216.11美元。CM病例包括(发病率,%)葡萄球菌属(1.6)、金黄色葡萄球菌(1.8)、链球菌属(6.9)、大肠杆菌(8.1)、克雷伯菌属(2.2)、其他经治疗病例(如假单胞菌;1.1)、其他未治疗病例(如化脓隐秘杆菌;1.2)和培养阴性病例(12.7)。即使在最优决策下,每例病例的平均成本对克雷伯菌属来说最高(477美元),其次是大肠杆菌(361美元)、其他经治疗病例(297美元)和其他未治疗病例(280美元)。其次是革兰氏阳性病原体;其中,每例病例成本最高的是金黄色葡萄球菌(266美元),其次是链球菌属(174美元)和葡萄球菌属(135美元);培养阴性病例成本最低(115美元)。该模型建议对大多数CM病例(>85%)进行治疗;范围为86.2%(克雷伯菌属)至98.5%(葡萄球菌属)。一般来说,与无CM的奶牛相比,有CM的奶牛的最优推荐替换时间要早5个月。此外,尽管本模型中实施的参数估计适用于本研究中的奶牛场,但这些参数可根据其他奶牛场的具体情况进行更改。可以提取基于疾病状态、妊娠状态和产奶量的奶牛排名和价值;这些在确定保留或淘汰哪些奶牛时提供指导。

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