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应对流感大流行的社会距离和其他相关措施的证据摘要和建议。

Evidence compendium and advice on social distancing and other related measures for response to an influenza pandemic.

机构信息

National Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance of Vaccine Preventable Diseases (NCIRS), The Children's Hospital at Westmead, NSW 2145, Australia.

National Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance of Vaccine Preventable Diseases (NCIRS), The Children's Hospital at Westmead, NSW 2145, Australia; School of Public Health, Tropical Medicine & Rehabilitation Sciences, James Cook University, Townsville, Australia.

出版信息

Paediatr Respir Rev. 2015 Mar;16(2):119-26. doi: 10.1016/j.prrv.2014.01.003. Epub 2014 Jan 31.

Abstract

The role of social distancing measures in mitigating pandemic influenza is not precisely understood. To this end, we have conducted a systematised review, particularly in light of the 2009 pandemic influenza, to better inform the role of social distancing measures against pandemic influenza. Articles were identified from relevant databases and the data were synthesised to provide evidence on the role of school or work place-based interventions, case-based distancing (self-isolation, quarantine), and restriction of mobility and mass gatherings. School closure, whether proactive or reactive, appears to be moderately effective and acceptable in reducing the transmission of influenza and in delaying the peak of an epidemic but is associated with very high secondary costs. Voluntary home isolation and quarantine are also effective and acceptable measures but there is an increased risk of intra-household transmission from index cases to contacts. Work place-related interventions like work closure and home working are also modestly effective and are acceptable, but likely to be economically disruptive. Internal mobility restriction is effective only if prohibitively high (50% of travel) restrictions are applied and mass gatherings occurring within 10 days before the epidemic peak are likely to increase the risk of transmission of influenza.

摘要

社会距离措施在减轻大流行性流感中的作用尚不完全清楚。为此,我们进行了系统评价,特别是针对 2009 年大流行性流感,以更好地了解社会距离措施在大流行性流感防控中的作用。从相关数据库中确定了文章,并对数据进行了综合分析,以提供有关学校或工作场所干预措施、基于病例的距离措施(自我隔离、检疫)以及限制流动和群众集会方面的作用的证据。学校关闭,无论是主动还是被动,似乎在减少流感传播和延迟流行高峰期方面是中等有效的,且可以接受,但会带来非常高的次生成本。自愿的家庭隔离和检疫也是有效的和可接受的措施,但从病例到接触者的家庭内传播风险会增加。与工作场所相关的干预措施,如关闭工作场所和在家工作,也具有适度的效果和可接受性,但可能会对经济造成破坏。只有在实施非常高(50%的旅行)限制的情况下,内部流动限制才有效,而在流行高峰期前 10 天内发生的群众集会可能会增加流感传播的风险。

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