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一种针对非正态数据空间错位问题的伪惩罚拟似然方法。

A pseudo-penalized quasi-likelihood approach to the spatial misalignment problem with non-normal data.

作者信息

Lopiano Kenneth K, Young Linda J, Gotway Carol A

机构信息

Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute, RTP, North Carolina, U.S.A.

Department of Statistics, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, U.S.A.

出版信息

Biometrics. 2014 Sep;70(3):648-60. doi: 10.1111/biom.12175. Epub 2014 Apr 21.

Abstract

Spatially referenced datasets arising from multiple sources are routinely combined to assess relationships among various outcomes and covariates. The geographical units associated with the data, such as the geographical coordinates or areal-level administrative units, are often spatially misaligned, that is, observed at different locations or aggregated over different geographical units. As a result, the covariate is often predicted at the locations where the response is observed. The method used to align disparate datasets must be accounted for when subsequently modeling the aligned data. Here we consider the case where kriging is used to align datasets in point-to-point and point-to-areal misalignment problems when the response variable is non-normally distributed. If the relationship is modeled using generalized linear models, the additional uncertainty induced from using the kriging mean as a covariate introduces a Berkson error structure. In this article, we develop a pseudo-penalized quasi-likelihood algorithm to account for the additional uncertainty when estimating regression parameters and associated measures of uncertainty. The method is applied to a point-to-point example assessing the relationship between low-birth weights and PM2.5 levels after the onset of the largest wildfire in Florida history, the Bugaboo scrub fire. A point-to-areal misalignment problem is presented where the relationship between asthma events in Florida's counties and PM2.5 levels after the onset of the fire is assessed. Finally, the method is evaluated using a simulation study. Our results indicate the method performs well in terms of coverage for 95% confidence intervals and naive methods that ignore the additional uncertainty tend to underestimate the variability associated with parameter estimates. The underestimation is most profound in Poisson regression models.

摘要

来自多个来源的空间参考数据集经常被合并,以评估各种结果和协变量之间的关系。与数据相关的地理单元,如地理坐标或区域级行政单元,常常在空间上未对齐,也就是说,在不同位置进行观测或在不同地理单元上进行汇总。因此,协变量往往是在观测到响应的位置进行预测的。在随后对对齐后的数据进行建模时,必须考虑用于对齐不同数据集的方法。在这里,我们考虑当响应变量非正态分布时,在点对点和点对面未对齐问题中使用克里金法对齐数据集的情况。如果使用广义线性模型对关系进行建模,将克里金均值用作协变量所引入的额外不确定性会导致伯克森误差结构。在本文中,我们开发了一种伪惩罚拟似然算法,以在估计回归参数和相关不确定性度量时考虑额外的不确定性。该方法应用于一个点对点的例子,评估佛罗里达历史上最大的野火——布格布灌木林大火发生后低出生体重与PM2.5水平之间的关系。还给出了一个点对面未对齐问题,评估火灾发生后佛罗里达各县哮喘事件与PM2.5水平之间的关系。最后,通过模拟研究对该方法进行评估。我们的结果表明,该方法在95%置信区间的覆盖率方面表现良好,而忽略额外不确定性的朴素方法往往会低估与参数估计相关的变异性。这种低估在泊松回归模型中最为明显。

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