Stolzenberg Stacia N, Lyon Thomas D
University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Child Maltreat. 2014 May;19(2):119-129. doi: 10.1177/1077559514539388. Epub 2014 Jun 11.
Evidence summarized in attorney's closing arguments of criminal child sexual abuse cases (N = 189) was coded to predict acquittal rates. Ten variables were significant bivariate predictors; five variables significant at p < .01 were entered into a multivariate model. Cases were likely to result in an acquittal when the defendant was not charged with force, the child maintained contact with the defendant after the abuse occurred, or the defense presented a hearsay witness regarding the victim's statements, a witness regarding the victim's character, or a witness regarding another witnesses' character (usually the mother). The findings suggest that jurors might believe that child molestation is akin to a stereotype of violent rape and that they may be swayed by defense challenges to the victim's credibility and the credibility of those close to the victim.
在刑事儿童性虐待案件（N = 189）的律师结案陈词中总结的证据被编码以预测无罪判决率。有10个变量是显著的双变量预测因子；将p < .01时显著的5个变量纳入多变量模型。当被告未被控使用暴力、虐待发生后儿童与被告保持联系、辩方提供关于受害者陈述的传闻证人、关于受害者品格的证人或关于另一名证人品格（通常是母亲）的证人时，案件很可能导致无罪判决。研究结果表明，陪审员可能认为儿童性骚扰类似于暴力强奸的刻板印象，并且他们可能会受到辩方对受害者可信度以及受害者身边之人可信度的质疑的影响。
