Charalampopoulos Dimitrios, McLoughlin Andrew, Elks Cathy E, Ong Ken K
Am J Epidemiol. 2014 Jul 1;180(1):29-40. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwu113. Epub 2014 Jun 11.
We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate the associations between menarcheal age and all-cause and cardiovascular death. Medline, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Knowledge were searched for articles published prior to March 2013 reporting on the associations between menarcheal age and death from all causes or from cardiovascular disease (total cardiovascular disease, ischemic heart disease (IHD), and stroke) in adult women. Nine articles were eligible for inclusion; these reported 5 estimates each for death from all causes and total cardiovascular death, 6 estimates for IHD, and 7 estimates for death from stroke. Our meta-analysis showed that each 1-year increase in age at menarche was associated with a 3% lower relative risk of death from all causes (pooled hazard ratio = 0.97, 95% confidence interval: 0.96, 0.98) with low heterogeneity (I(2) = 32.2%). Meta-analysis of 2 cohorts showed a higher risk of death from all causes for women who experienced early menarche (at <12 years of age) versus "not early" menarche (at ≥ 12 years of age) (pooled hazard ratio = 1.23, 95% confidence interval: 1.10, 1.38; I(2) = 0%). An inverse association between age at menarche and death from IHD was observed only among nonsmoking populations or populations with low prevalence of smoking. We found no evidence of association between age at menarche and death from all cardiovascular diseases or stroke. Early menarche was consistently associated with higher risk of death from all causes. Further studies are needed to clarify the role of menarcheal age on cardiovascular outcomes and to investigate the potential modifying role of smoking.
我们进行了一项系统评价和荟萃分析,以研究初潮年龄与全因死亡和心血管死亡之间的关联。我们检索了Medline、Embase、Scopus和Web of Knowledge数据库,查找2013年3月之前发表的关于成年女性初潮年龄与全因死亡或心血管疾病(包括总心血管疾病、缺血性心脏病(IHD)和中风)死亡之间关联的文章。有9篇文章符合纳入标准;这些文章分别报告了5个全因死亡和总心血管死亡的估计值、6个IHD的估计值以及7个中风死亡的估计值。我们的荟萃分析表明,初潮年龄每增加1岁,全因死亡的相对风险降低3%(合并风险比=0.97,95%置信区间:0.96,0.98),异质性较低(I²=32.2%)。对2个队列的荟萃分析显示,初潮早(<12岁)的女性与初潮“不早”(≥12岁)的女性相比,全因死亡风险更高(合并风险比=1.23,95%置信区间:1.10,1.38;I²=0%)。仅在非吸烟人群或吸烟率较低的人群中观察到初潮年龄与IHD死亡之间存在负相关。我们没有发现初潮年龄与所有心血管疾病或中风死亡之间存在关联的证据。初潮早一直与全因死亡风险较高相关。需要进一步研究来阐明初潮年龄在心血管结局中的作用,并调查吸烟的潜在调节作用。