Beauclair Roxanne, Petro Greg, Myer Landon
The South African Department of Science and Technology/National Research Foundation (DST/NRF) Centre of Excellence in Epidemiological Modeling and Analysis (SACEMA), Stellenbosch University, c/o StIAS, Private Bag X1, Matieland, Stellenbosch 7602, South Africa.
BMC Pregnancy Childbirth. 2014 Jun 13;14:204. doi: 10.1186/1471-2393-14-204.
There is renewed interest in stillbirth prevention for lower-middle income countries. Early initiation of and properly timed antenatal care (ANC) is thought to reduce the risk of many adverse birth outcomes. To this end we examined if timing of the first ANC visit influences the risk of stillbirth.
We conducted an analysis of a retrospective cohort of women (n = 34,671) with singleton births in a public perinatal service in Cape Town, South Africa. The main exposure was the gestational age at the first ANC visit. Bivariable analyses examining maternal characteristics by stillbirth status and gestational age at the first ANC visit, were conducted. Logistic regression, adjusting for maternal characteristics, was conducted to determine the risk of stillbirth.
Of the 34,671 women who initiated ANC, 27,713 women (80%) were retained until delivery. The population stillbirth rate was 4.3 per 1000 births. The adjusted models indicated there was no effect of gestational age at first ANC visit on stillbirth outcomes when analyzed as a continuous variable (aOR 1.01; 95% CI: 0.99-1.04) or in trimesters (2nd Trimester aOR 0.78, 95% CI: 0.39-1.59; 3rd Trimester OR 1.03, 95% CI: 0.50-2.13, both with 1st Trimester as reference category). The findings were unchanged in sensitivity analyses of unobserved outcomes in non-retained women.
The timing of a woman's first ANC visit may not be an important determinant of stillbirths in isolation. Further research is required to examine how quality of care, incorporating established, effective biomedical interventions, influences outcomes in this setting.
中低收入国家对死产预防重新产生了兴趣。早期开始并适时进行产前护理(ANC)被认为可降低许多不良分娩结局的风险。为此,我们研究了首次产前检查的时间是否会影响死产风险。
我们对南非开普敦一家公共围产期服务机构中34,671名单胎分娩的女性进行了回顾性队列分析。主要暴露因素是首次产前检查时的孕周。进行了双变量分析,按死产状态和首次产前检查时的孕周检查产妇特征。进行了逻辑回归分析,对产妇特征进行了调整,以确定死产风险。
在34,671名开始接受产前检查的女性中,27,713名女性(80%)一直持续到分娩。总体死产率为每1000例分娩中有4.3例。调整后的模型表明,首次产前检查时的孕周作为连续变量分析时,对死产结局没有影响(调整后的比值比为1.01;95%置信区间:0.99 -
1.04),按孕期分析时也没有影响(孕中期调整后的比值比为0.78,95%置信区间:0.39 - 1.59;孕晚期比值比为1.03,95%置信区间:0.50 - 2.13,均以孕早期作为参考类别)。在对未保留女性中未观察到的结局进行敏感性分析时,结果没有变化。
女性首次产前检查的时间本身可能不是死产的重要决定因素。需要进一步研究,以检查结合既定有效生物医学干预措施的护理质量如何影响这种情况下的结局。