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吸烟与中风关系的荟萃分析。

Meta-analysis of relation between cigarette smoking and stroke.

作者信息

Shinton R, Beevers G

机构信息

University Department of Medicine, Dudley Road Hospital, Birmingham.

出版信息

BMJ. 1989 Mar 25;298(6676):789-94. doi: 10.1136/bmj.298.6676.789.

Abstract

There is a lack of consensus among studies on the possible risks of stroke from cigarette smoking; because of this a meta-analysis was conducted. All published data on the association were sought and the relative risk for each study obtained whenever possible. The pooled relative risks were calculated by using estimates of the precision of the individual relative risks to weight their contribution to the meta-analysis. Thirty two separate studies were analysed. The overall relative risk of stroke associated with cigarette smoking was 1.5 (95% confidence interval 1.4 to 1.6). Considerable differences were seen in relative risks among the subtypes: cerebral infarction 1.9, cerebral haemorrhage 0.7, and subarachnoid haemorrhage 2.9. An effect of age on the relative risk was also noted; less than 55 years 2.9, 55-74 years 1.8, and greater than or equal to 75 years 1.1. A dose response between the number of cigarettes smoked and relative risk was noted, and there was a small increased risk in women compared with men. Ex-smokers under the age of 75 seemed to retain an appreciably increased risk of stroke (1.5); for all ages the relative risk in ex-smokers was 1.2. The meta-analysis provides strong evidence of an excess risk of stroke among cigarette smokers. Stroke should therefore be added to the list of diseases related to smoking.

摘要

关于吸烟可能导致中风的风险,各项研究之间缺乏共识;因此进行了一项荟萃分析。检索了所有已发表的关于这种关联的数据,并尽可能获取每项研究的相对风险。通过使用个体相对风险精度的估计值来权衡其对荟萃分析的贡献,计算汇总相对风险。分析了32项独立研究。吸烟与中风相关的总体相对风险为1.5(95%置信区间为1.4至1.6)。在各亚型的相对风险中存在显著差异:脑梗死为1.9,脑出血为0.7,蛛网膜下腔出血为2.9。还注意到年龄对相对风险有影响;年龄小于55岁为2.9,55 - 74岁为1.8,年龄大于或等于75岁为1.1。观察到吸烟数量与相对风险之间存在剂量反应关系,并且女性比男性的风险略有增加。75岁以下的既往吸烟者似乎仍有明显增加的中风风险(1.5);对于所有年龄段,既往吸烟者的相对风险为1.2。荟萃分析提供了强有力的证据,证明吸烟者中风风险过高。因此,中风应被列入与吸烟相关的疾病清单。

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