Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA.
Department of Geological Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA.
Science. 2014 Jul 25;345(6195):448-51. doi: 10.1126/science.1255802. Epub 2014 Jul 3.
Unconventional oil and gas production provides a rapidly growing energy source; however, high-production states in the United States, such as Oklahoma, face sharply rising numbers of earthquakes. Subsurface pressure data required to unequivocally link earthquakes to wastewater injection are rarely accessible. Here we use seismicity and hydrogeological models to show that fluid migration from high-rate disposal wells in Oklahoma is potentially responsible for the largest swarm. Earthquake hypocenters occur within disposal formations and upper basement, between 2- and 5-kilometer depth. The modeled fluid pressure perturbation propagates throughout the same depth range and tracks earthquakes to distances of 35 kilometers, with a triggering threshold of ~0.07 megapascals. Although thousands of disposal wells operate aseismically, four of the highest-rate wells are capable of inducing 20% of 2008 to 2013 central U.S. seismicity.
非常规油气生产提供了一种快速增长的能源;然而,美国的高产量州,如俄克拉荷马州,面临着地震数量的急剧上升。将地震与废水注入明确联系起来所需的地下压力数据很少能获得。在这里,我们使用地震活动和水文地质模型来表明,俄克拉荷马州高速处置井中的流体迁移可能是最大群震的原因。震中位于处置地层和上基底内,深度在 2 到 5 公里之间。模拟的流体压力扰动在相同的深度范围内传播,并能追踪到 35 公里远的地震,触发阈值约为 0.07 兆帕。尽管有成千上万口处置井在地震中保持静止,但其中四口高速率的井能够引发 2008 年至 2013 年美国中部 20%的地震活动。