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2000 - 2010年伊朗沙赫鲁德的癌症发病率及趋势分析

Cancer incidence and trend analysis in shahroud, iran, 2000 - 2010.

作者信息

Fateh Mansooreh, Emamian Mohammad Hassan

机构信息

Center for Health Related Social and Behavioral Sciences Research, Shahroud University of Medical Sciences, Shahroud, Iran.

Dept. of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Shahroud University of Medical Sciences, Shahroud, Iran.

出版信息

Iran J Cancer Prev. 2013 Spring;6(2):85-94.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Cancer is the third leading cause of death in Iran, and its trend isincreasing in recent years. National reports state that cancer registries in Shahroud district had 204% coverage in 2008. This study investigated cancer situation in Shahroud with complete details between 2000-2010.

METHODS

Data was obtained from national cancer registry software and analyzed after removing the repeated records. World standard population and direct standardization method was used to calculate Age Standardized incidence Rates (ASRs). Annual percentage changes calculated using Jointpoint software and Poisson regression model was performed to calculate cancer incidence trends.

RESULTS

A total of 2240 cancer cases were identified, 1234 (55.1%) in man and 1006 (44.9%) in woman. The mean age was 61.6 years (Confidence Interval, CI 95%: 60.9- 62.3). ASRs of total cancers was 95.4 (CI 95%: 89.2-101.6) per 100,000; this rate was 114.8 (CI 95%: 107.9-121.6) for men and 105.2 (CI 95%: 100.6 -109.8) for women. The average annual increase in ASR was 12.4%, which could not be attributed only to improve reporting. Gastric cancer is the most common cancer in men, and breast cancer is most common in women.

CONCLUSION

Cancer incidence rate has increased significantly in Shahroud in recent years. A portion of this increase can be attributed to increased incidence of cancers, especially cancers of colorectal, gastric, breast, and skin.

摘要

背景

癌症是伊朗第三大死因,且近年来呈上升趋势。国家报告称,2008年沙赫鲁德地区癌症登记覆盖率达204%。本研究详细调查了2000年至2010年沙赫鲁德的癌症情况。

方法

数据取自国家癌症登记软件,去除重复记录后进行分析。采用世界标准人口和直接标准化方法计算年龄标准化发病率(ASR)。使用Joinpoint软件计算年度百分比变化,并采用泊松回归模型计算癌症发病率趋势。

结果

共识别出2240例癌症病例,男性1234例(55.1%),女性1006例(44.9%)。平均年龄为61.6岁(95%置信区间:60.9 - 62.3)。所有癌症的ASR为每10万人95.4例(95%置信区间:89.2 - 101.6);男性为114.8例(95%置信区间:107.9 - 121.6),女性为105.2例(95%置信区间:100.6 - 109.8)。ASR的年均增长率为12.4%,这一增长不能仅归因于报告的改善。胃癌是男性中最常见的癌症,乳腺癌是女性中最常见的癌症。

结论

近年来沙赫鲁德的癌症发病率显著上升。这一增长的部分原因可归因于癌症发病率的增加,尤其是结直肠癌、胃癌、乳腺癌和皮肤癌。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c75e/4142911/d394fedc2310/IJCP-06-085f1.jpg

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