Buczinski S, Boulay G, Francoz D
Faculté de médecine vétérinaire, Département des sciences cliniques, Université de Montréal, St-Hyacinthe, QC, Canada.
J Vet Intern Med. 2015 Jan;29(1):375-80. doi: 10.1111/jvim.12490. Epub 2014 Oct 10.
Preoperative L-lactatemia and heart rate have been suggested as prognostic indicators of outcome for cows with right dilatation of the abomasum or volvulus (RDA/AV). However, postoperative L-lactatemia has not been assessed as a potential prognostic tool.
To determine the prognostic value of postoperative L-lactatemia (LAC2 ), duration of treatment (Dt), relative L-lactatemia difference (compared with preoperative L-lactatemia [LAC1 ]) ([LAC2 - LAC1 ]/LAC2 ) and change in L-lactate over time ([LAC2 - LAC1 ]/Dt) as compared to preoperative findings (LAC1 and heart rate [HR]) as prognostic factors in dairy cows with RDA/AV.
A total of 41 dairy cows were included: 19 with AV and 22 with RDA; 11 cows had a negative outcome (NO) and 30 cows had a positive outcome (PO) based on telephone follow-up with owners 30 days after surgery.
Prospective cohort study. Analysis was performed using logistic regression and comparison of area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) using nonparametric tests.
LAC1 > 1.4 mmol/L or LAC2 > 2.2 mmol/L had the same accuracy with sensitivity of 100% (95% CI, 75.1-100%) and specificity of 80% (95% CI, 61.4-92.3%) for predicting NO. The relative L-lactatemia difference ([LAC2 - LAC1 ]/LAC1 ) or lactate kinetics ([LAC2 - LAC1 ]/Dt) were not associated with prognosis. The AUC of the preoperative model (which included HR and lnLAC1 ) was 0.92 (95% CI, 0.83-1.0) and that of the postoperative model (including only lnLAC2 ) was 0.95 (95% CI, 0.88-1.0); these were not significantly different.
Postoperative L-lactatemia is helpful to predict outcome in cows with RDA/AV. The short-term change in blood L-lactate is not a useful prognostic indicator, at least during the period of time spent on the farm for surgery and treatment.
术前L-乳酸血症和心率已被认为是患有真胃右方扩张或扭转(RDA/AV)奶牛预后的指标。然而,术后L-乳酸血症尚未作为一种潜在的预后工具进行评估。
确定术后L-乳酸血症(LAC2)、治疗持续时间(Dt)、相对L-乳酸血症差异(与术前L-乳酸血症[LAC1]相比)([LAC2 - LAC1]/LAC2)以及L-乳酸随时间的变化([LAC2 - LAC1]/Dt)与术前结果(LAC1和心率[HR])相比,作为患有RDA/AV奶牛预后因素的预后价值。
共纳入41头奶牛:19头患有AV,22头患有RDA;根据术后30天与畜主的电话随访,11头奶牛预后不良(NO),30头奶牛预后良好(PO)。
前瞻性队列研究。采用逻辑回归分析,并使用非参数检验比较受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)。
LAC1>1.4 mmol/L或LAC2>2.2 mmol/L在预测NO时具有相同的准确性,敏感性为100%(95%CI,75.1 - 100%),特异性为80%(95%CI,61.4 - 92.3%)。相对L-乳酸血症差异([LAC2 - LAC1]/LAC)或乳酸动力学([LAC2 - LAC1]/Dt)与预后无关。术前模型(包括HR和lnLAC1)的AUC为0.92(95%CI,0.83 - 1.0),术后模型(仅包括lnLAC2)的AUC为0.95(95%CI,0.88 - 1.0);两者无显著差异。
术后L-乳酸血症有助于预测患有RDA/AV奶牛的预后。血液L-乳酸的短期变化不是一个有用的预后指标,至少在农场进行手术和治疗的时间段内如此。