Weldearegawi Berhe, Melaku Yohannes Adama, Spigt Mark, Dinant Geert Jan
Department of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Mekelle University, Mekelle, Ethiopia; INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana;
Department of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Mekelle University, Mekelle, Ethiopia; INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana.
Glob Health Action. 2014 Oct 29;7:25550. doi: 10.3402/gha.v7.25550. eCollection 2014.
In Ethiopia, most deaths take place at home and routine certification of cause of death by physicians is lacking. As a result, reliable cause of death (CoD) data are often not available. Recently, a computerized method for interpretation of verbal autopsy (VA) data, called InterVA, has been developed and used. It calculates the probability of a set of CoD given the presence of circumstances, signs, and symptoms reported during VA interviews. We applied the InterVA model to describe CoD in a rural population of Ethiopia.
VA data for 436/599 (72.7%) deaths that occurred during 2010-2011 were included. InterVA-4 was used to interpret the VA data into probable cause of death. Cause-specific mortality fraction was used to describe frequency of occurrence of death from specific causes.
InterVA-4 was able to give likely cause(s) of death for 401/436 of the cases (92.0%). Overall, 35.0% of the total deaths were attributed to communicable diseases, and 30.7% to chronic non-communicable diseases. Tuberculosis (12.5%) and acute respiratory tract infections (10.4%) were the most frequent causes followed by neoplasms (9.6%) and diseases of circulatory system (7.2%).
InterVA-4 can produce plausible estimates of the major public health problems that can guide public health interventions. We encourage further validation studies, in local settings, so that InterVA can be integrated into national health surveys.
在埃塞俄比亚,大多数死亡发生在家中,且缺乏医生对死亡原因的常规认证。因此,可靠的死亡原因(CoD)数据往往难以获得。最近,一种名为InterVA的用于解释死因推断(VA)数据的计算机化方法已被开发并应用。它根据VA访谈中报告的情况、体征和症状来计算一组CoD的概率。我们应用InterVA模型来描述埃塞俄比亚农村人口的CoD情况。
纳入了2010 - 2011年期间发生的436/599例(72.7%)死亡的VA数据。使用InterVA - 4将VA数据解释为可能的死亡原因。特定原因死亡率用于描述特定原因导致死亡的发生频率。
InterVA - 4能够为401/436例病例(92.0%)给出可能的死亡原因。总体而言,所有死亡中有35.0%归因于传染病,30.7%归因于慢性非传染性疾病。结核病(12.5%)和急性呼吸道感染(10.4%)是最常见的原因,其次是肿瘤(9.6%)和循环系统疾病(7.2%)。
InterVA - 4可以对主要公共卫生问题做出合理估计,从而指导公共卫生干预措施。我们鼓励在当地环境中进行进一步的验证研究,以便将InterVA纳入国家卫生调查。