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地球工程、气候变化怀疑论与“道德风险”论点:关于英国公众认知的一项实验研究

Geoengineering, climate change scepticism and the 'moral hazard' argument: an experimental study of UK public perceptions.

作者信息

Corner Adam, Pidgeon Nick

机构信息

Climate Outreach & Information Network (COIN), Oxford OX4 1JE, UK School of Psychology, Cardiff University, Cardiff CF10 3AT, UK

School of Psychology, Cardiff University, Cardiff CF10 3AT, UK Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK.

出版信息

Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2014 Dec 28;372(2031). doi: 10.1098/rsta.2014.0063.

Abstract

Many commentators have expressed concerns that researching and/or developing geoengineering technologies may undermine support for existing climate policies-the so-called moral hazard argument. This argument plays a central role in policy debates about geoengineering. However, there has not yet been a systematic investigation of how members of the public view the moral hazard argument, or whether it impacts on people's beliefs about geoengineering and climate change. In this paper, we describe an online experiment with a representative sample of the UK public, in which participants read one of two arguments (either endorsing or rejecting the idea that geoengineering poses a moral hazard). The argument endorsing the idea of geoengineering as a moral hazard was perceived as more convincing overall. However, people with more sceptical views and those who endorsed 'self-enhancing' values were more likely to agree that the prospect of geoengineering would reduce their motivation to make changes in their own behaviour in response to climate change. The findings suggest that geoengineering is likely to pose a moral hazard for some people more than others, and the implications for engaging the public are discussed.

摘要

许多评论家担心,研究和/或开发地球工程技术可能会削弱对现有气候政策的支持——即所谓的道德风险论点。这一论点在关于地球工程的政策辩论中起着核心作用。然而,对于公众如何看待道德风险论点,或者它是否会影响人们对地球工程和气候变化的看法,尚未进行系统的调查。在本文中,我们描述了一项针对英国公众代表性样本的在线实验,参与者阅读了两个论点之一(要么支持要么反对地球工程构成道德风险这一观点)。总体而言,支持地球工程存在道德风险这一观点的论点被认为更有说服力。然而,持怀疑态度的人和那些支持“自我提升”价值观的人更有可能认同地球工程的前景会降低他们为应对气候变化而改变自身行为的动力。研究结果表明,地球工程对某些人的道德风险可能比对其他人更大,并讨论了其对公众参与的影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/816a/4240956/936b69f5e859/rsta20140063-g1.jpg

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