Understanding Risk Research Group, School of Psychology, Cardiff University, Park Place, Cardiff CF10 3AT, UK.
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2012 Sep 13;370(1974):4176-96. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2012.0099.
Proposals for geoengineering the Earth's climate are prime examples of emerging or 'upstream' technologies, because many aspects of their effectiveness, cost and risks are yet to be researched, and in many cases are highly uncertain. This paper contributes to the emerging debate about the social acceptability of geoengineering technologies by presenting preliminary evidence on public responses to geoengineering from two of the very first UK studies of public perceptions and responses. The discussion draws upon two datasets: qualitative data (from an interview study conducted in 42 households in 2009), and quantitative data (from a subsequent nationwide survey (n=1822) of British public opinion). Unsurprisingly, baseline awareness of geoengineering was extremely low in both cases. The data from the survey indicate that, when briefly explained to people, carbon dioxide removal approaches were preferred to solar radiation management, while significant positive correlations were also found between concern about climate change and support for different geoengineering approaches. We discuss some of the wider considerations that are likely to shape public perceptions of geoengineering as it enters the media and public sphere, and conclude that, aside from technical considerations, public perceptions are likely to prove a key element influencing the debate over questions of the acceptability of geoengineering proposals.
地球工程气候的提议是新兴或“上游”技术的典型例子,因为它们的有效性、成本和风险的许多方面尚未得到研究,而且在许多情况下具有高度的不确定性。本文通过展示英国公众对地球工程技术的看法和反应的首批研究中的两项初步证据,为新兴的地球工程技术的社会可接受性辩论做出了贡献。讨论借鉴了两个数据集:定性数据(来自 2009 年在 42 个家庭中进行的访谈研究)和定量数据(来自随后对英国公众意见的全国范围调查(n=1822))。毫不奇怪,这两种情况的地球工程基线意识都极低。调查数据表明,当简要向人们解释时,二氧化碳去除方法优先于太阳辐射管理,同时还发现气候变化的担忧与对不同地球工程方法的支持之间存在显著的正相关关系。我们讨论了一些可能会影响公众对地球工程技术的看法的更广泛的考虑因素,这些因素可能会影响到对地球工程提案的可接受性问题的辩论,我们得出的结论是,除了技术考虑因素外,公众的看法很可能成为影响关于地球工程提案的可接受性问题的辩论的关键因素。