肾小球滤过率下降作为 CKD 临床试验的终点:由美国国家肾脏基金会和美国食品药品监督管理局赞助的科学研讨会。

GFR decline as an end point for clinical trials in CKD: a scientific workshop sponsored by the National Kidney Foundation and the US Food and Drug Administration.

机构信息

Division of Nephrology, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, MA.

Division of Nephrology, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, MA.

出版信息

Am J Kidney Dis. 2014 Dec;64(6):821-35. doi: 10.1053/j.ajkd.2014.07.030. Epub 2014 Oct 16.

Abstract

The US Food and Drug Administration currently accepts halving of glomerular filtration rate (GFR), assessed as doubling of serum creatinine level, as a surrogate end point for the development of kidney failure in clinical trials of kidney disease progression. A doubling of serum creatinine level generally is a late event in chronic kidney disease (CKD); thus, there is great interest in considering alternative end points for clinical trials to shorten their duration, reduce sample size, and extend their conduct to patients with earlier stages of CKD. However, the relationship between lesser declines in GFR and the subsequent development of kidney failure has not been well characterized. The National Kidney Foundation and Food and Drug Administration sponsored a scientific workshop to critically examine available data to determine whether alternative GFR-based end points have sufficiently strong relationships with important clinical outcomes of CKD to be used in clinical trials. Based on a series of meta-analyses of cohorts and clinical trials and simulations of trial designs and analytic methods, the workshop concluded that a confirmed decline in estimated GFR of 30% over 2 to 3 years may be an acceptable surrogate end point in some circumstances, but the pattern of treatment effects on GFR must be examined, specifically acute effects on estimated GFR. An estimated GFR decline of 40% may be more broadly acceptable than a 30% decline across a wider range of baseline GFRs and patterns of treatment effects on GFR. However, there are other circumstances in which these end points could lead to a reduction in statistical power or erroneous conclusions regarding benefits or harms of interventions. We encourage careful consideration of these alternative end points in the design of future clinical trials.

摘要

美国食品和药物管理局目前接受肾小球滤过率(GFR)减半,评估为血清肌酐水平翻倍,作为肾病进展临床试验中肾衰竭发展的替代终点。血清肌酐水平翻倍通常是慢性肾脏病(CKD)的晚期事件;因此,人们非常关注在临床试验中考虑替代终点,以缩短试验持续时间、减少样本量,并将其扩展到 CKD 早期阶段的患者。然而,GFR 较小的下降与随后发生的肾衰竭之间的关系尚未得到很好的描述。美国国家肾脏基金会和食品药品监督管理局共同主办了一次科学研讨会,以批判性地审查现有数据,以确定基于 GFR 的替代终点是否与 CKD 的重要临床结局具有足够强的关系,从而可用于临床试验。基于对队列和临床试验的一系列荟萃分析以及对试验设计和分析方法的模拟,研讨会得出结论,在某些情况下,经过 2 至 3 年确认的估计 GFR 下降 30%可能是一个可接受的替代终点,但必须检查 GFR 对治疗效果的模式,特别是对估计 GFR 的急性影响。估计 GFR 下降 40%可能比在更广泛的 GFR 基线和 GFR 对治疗效果的模式范围内下降 30%更广泛地被接受。然而,在其他情况下,这些终点可能会降低统计效力或导致对干预措施的益处或危害的错误结论。我们鼓励在未来临床试验的设计中仔细考虑这些替代终点。

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