Lu Feng, Xu Dongqun, Cheng Yibin, Dong Shaoxia, Guo Chao, Jiang Xue, Zheng Xiaoying
Institute of Population Research, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China; Institute of Environmental Health and Related Product Safety, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China.
Institute of Environmental Health and Related Product Safety, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China.
Environ Res. 2015 Jan;136:196-204. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2014.06.029. Epub 2014 Nov 25.
As the largest developing country, China has some of the worst air quality in the world. Heavy smog in January 2013 led to unprecedented public concern about the health impact of exposure to particulate matter. Conducting health impact assessments of particulate matter has thus become an urgent task for public health practitioners. Combined estimates of the health effects of exposure to particulate matter from quantitative reviews could provide vital information for epidemiology-based health impact assessments, but estimates for the Chinese population are limited.
On December 31, 2013, we systematically searched the PubMed, Web of Science, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure databases using as keywords names of 127 major cities in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. From among the 1464 articles identified, 59 studies were manually screened. Random-effects or fixed-effects models were used to combine their risk estimates, the funnel plots with Egger test were performed to evaluate the publication bias and Meta regression were run to explore the association between exposure to particulate matter with aerodynamic diameters less than 10 and 2.5 µm (PM10 and PM2.5) and the resulting health effects by the Comprehensive Meta Analysis.
In terms of short-term effects, the combined excess risks of total non-accidental mortality, mortality due to cardiovascular disease, and mortality due to respiratory disease were 0.36% (95% confidence interval [95%CI]: 0.26%, 0.46%), 0.36% (95%CI: 0.24%, 0.49%), and 0.42% (95%CI: 0.28%, 0.55%), for each 10 μg/m(3) increase in PM10. A 10 μg/m(3) increase in PM2.5 was associated with a 0.40% (95%CI: 0.22%, 0.59%) increase in total non-accidental mortality, a 0.63% (95%CI: 0.35%, 0.91%) increase in mortality due to cardiovascular disease, and a 0.75% (95%CI: 01.39%, 1.11%) increase in mortality due to respiratory disease. For constituent-specific mortality, increases of 0.40-3.11% were associated with an increase of 10 ng/m(3) for nickel in PM. The summary estimate ranges of hospital utilization were 0.08% ~ 0.72% and -0.58% ~ 1.32% for a 10 μg/m(3) increase in PM10 and PM2.5. In terms of long-term effects, a 10 μg/m(3) increase of PM10 corresponded to 23-67% increase in the risk of mortality.
Short exposures to PM10 and PM2.5 are associated with increases in mortality, but evidence of constituent-associated health effects, long-term effects and morbidity in China is still inadequate.
作为最大的发展中国家,中国拥有世界上一些最差的空气质量。2013年1月的严重雾霾引发了公众对接触颗粒物对健康影响的前所未有的关注。因此,开展颗粒物的健康影响评估已成为公共卫生从业者的一项紧迫任务。通过定量综述对接触颗粒物的健康影响进行综合估计可为基于流行病学的健康影响评估提供重要信息,但针对中国人群的估计有限。
2013年12月31日,我们使用中国大陆、香港和台湾127个主要城市的名称作为关键词,系统检索了PubMed、科学网和中国知网数据库。从识别出的1464篇文章中,人工筛选出59项研究。采用随机效应或固定效应模型合并其风险估计值,进行带Egger检验的漏斗图分析以评估发表偏倚,并通过综合Meta分析进行Meta回归以探讨接触空气动力学直径小于10和2.5微米的颗粒物(PM10和PM2.5)与所产生的健康影响之间的关联。
就短期影响而言,PM10每增加10μg/m³,总非意外死亡率、心血管疾病死亡率和呼吸系统疾病死亡率的合并超额风险分别为0.36%(95%置信区间[95%CI]:0.26%,0.46%)、0.36%(95%CI:0.24%,0.49%)和0.42%(95%CI:0.28%,0.55%)。PM2.5每增加10μg/m³,总非意外死亡率增加0.40%(95%CI:0.22%,0.59%),心血管疾病死亡率增加0.63%(95%CI:0.35%,0.91%),呼吸系统疾病死亡率增加0.75%(95%CI:0.39%,1.11%)。对于特定成分的死亡率,PM中镍每增加10 ng/m³,死亡率增加0.40% - 3.11%。PM10和PM2.5每增加10μg/m³,医院利用率的汇总估计范围分别为0.08% ~ 0.72%和 - 0.58% ~ 1.32%。就长期影响而言,PM10每增加10μg/m³,死亡率风险增加23% - 67%。
短期接触PM10和PM2.5与死亡率增加相关,但在中国,与成分相关的健康影响、长期影响和发病率的证据仍然不足。