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人类能做出正确的决策吗?

Do humans make good decisions?

作者信息

Summerfield Christopher, Tsetsos Konstantinos

机构信息

Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, OX1 3UD, Oxford, UK.

Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, OX1 3UD, Oxford, UK.

出版信息

Trends Cogn Sci. 2015 Jan;19(1):27-34. doi: 10.1016/j.tics.2014.11.005. Epub 2014 Dec 6.

Abstract

Human performance on perceptual classification tasks approaches that of an ideal observer, but economic decisions are often inconsistent and intransitive, with preferences reversing according to the local context. We discuss the view that suboptimal choices may result from the efficient coding of decision-relevant information, a strategy that allows expected inputs to be processed with higher gain than unexpected inputs. Efficient coding leads to 'robust' decisions that depart from optimality but maximise the information transmitted by a limited-capacity system in a rapidly-changing world. We review recent work showing that when perceptual environments are variable or volatile, perceptual decisions exhibit the same suboptimal context-dependence as economic choices, and we propose a general computational framework that accounts for findings across the two domains.

摘要

人类在感知分类任务中的表现接近理想观察者,但经济决策往往不一致且不具有可传递性,偏好会根据局部情境而反转。我们讨论了一种观点,即次优选择可能源于对决策相关信息的高效编码,这是一种策略,能使预期输入比意外输入以更高增益进行处理。高效编码会导致偏离最优性但能在快速变化的世界中最大化有限容量系统所传输信息的“稳健”决策。我们回顾了近期的研究工作,这些研究表明,当感知环境多变或不稳定时,感知决策会表现出与经济选择相同的次优情境依赖性,并且我们提出了一个能解释这两个领域研究结果的通用计算框架。

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Serial dependence in visual perception.视觉感知中的序列依赖。
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