Hurlstone Mark J, Lewandowsky Stephan, Newell Ben R, Sewell Brittany
School of Psychology, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia; Centre for Environment and Life Sciences, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Floreat, Australia.
School of Psychology, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia; Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.
PLoS One. 2014 Dec 15;9(12):e114335. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0114335. eCollection 2014.
Deep cuts in greenhouse gas emissions are required to mitigate climate change. However, there is low willingness amongst the public to prioritise climate policies for reducing emissions. Here we show that the extent to which Australians are prepared to reduce their country's CO2 emissions is greater when the costs to future national income are framed as a "foregone-gain"--incomes rise in the future but not by as much as in the absence of emission cuts--rather than as a "loss"--incomes decrease relative to the baseline expected future levels (Studies 1 & 2). The provision of a normative message identifying Australia as one of the world's largest CO2 emitters did not increase the amount by which individuals were prepared to reduce emissions (Study 1), whereas a normative message revealing the emission policy preferences of other Australians did (Study 2). The results suggest that framing the costs of reducing emissions as a smaller increase in future income and communicating normative information about others' emission policy preferences are effective methods for leveraging public support for emission cuts.
为了缓解气候变化,需要大幅削减温室气体排放。然而,公众将气候政策作为减排优先事项的意愿较低。我们在此表明,当未来国民收入成本被表述为“已放弃的收益”(未来收入会增加,但增幅低于不减排的情况)而非“损失”(相对于预期未来基线水平,收入减少)时,澳大利亚人准备减少本国二氧化碳排放的程度更高(研究1和研究2)。提供一条规范性信息,将澳大利亚确定为全球最大的二氧化碳排放国之一,并不会增加个人准备减排的幅度(研究1),而揭示其他澳大利亚人排放政策偏好的规范性信息则会增加这一幅度(研究2)。结果表明,将减排成本表述为未来收入较小幅度的增加,并传达有关他人排放政策偏好的规范性信息,是争取公众支持减排的有效方法。