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一种供政策制定者使用的新的多维人口健康指标:绝对水平、不平等和空间聚类——基于全球次国家层面婴儿死亡率数据的实证应用

A new multidimensional population health indicator for policy makers: absolute level, inequality and spatial clustering - an empirical application using global sub-national infant mortality data.

作者信息

Sartorius Benn K D, Sartorius Kurt

机构信息

Discipline of Public Health Medicine, School of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.

Faculty of Commerce, Law and Management, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.

出版信息

Geospat Health. 2014 Nov;9(1):7-26. doi: 10.4081/gh.2014.2.

DOI:10.4081/gh.2014.2
PMID:25545922
Abstract

The need for a multidimensional measure of population health that accounts for its distribution remains a central problem to guide the allocation of limited resources. Absolute proxy measures, like the infant mortality rate (IMR), are limited because they ignore inequality and spatial clustering. We propose a novel, three-part, multidimensional mortality indicator that can be used as the first step to differentiate interventions in a region or country. The three-part indicator (MortalityABC index) combines absolute mortality rate, the Theil Index to calculate mortality inequality and the Getis-Ord G statistic to determine the degree of spatial clustering. The analysis utilises global sub-national IMR data to empirically illustrate the proposed indicator. The three-part indicator is mapped globally to display regional/country variation and further highlight its potential application. Developing countries (e.g. in sub-Saharan Africa) display high levels of absolute mortality as well as variable mortality inequality with evidence of spatial clustering within certain sub-national units ("hotspots"). Although greater inequality is observed outside developed regions, high mortality inequality and spatial clustering are common in both developed and developing countries. Significant positive correlation was observed between the degree of spatial clustering and absolute mortality. The proposed multidimensional indicator should prove useful for spatial allocation of healthcare resources within a country, because it can prompt a wide range of policy options and prioritise high-risk areas. The new indicator demonstrates the inadequacy of IMR as a single measure of population health, and it can also be adapted to lower administrative levels within a country and other population health measures.

摘要

需要一种考虑人口健康分布情况的多维衡量方法,这仍然是指导有限资源分配的核心问题。像婴儿死亡率(IMR)这样的绝对替代指标存在局限性,因为它们忽略了不平等和空间聚集现象。我们提出了一种新颖的、由三部分组成的多维死亡率指标,可作为区分一个地区或国家干预措施的第一步。这个由三部分组成的指标(死亡率ABC指数)结合了绝对死亡率、用于计算死亡率不平等的泰尔指数以及用于确定空间聚集程度的Getis-Ord G统计量。分析利用全球次国家级的婴儿死亡率数据对所提出的指标进行实证说明。这个三部分指标在全球范围内进行映射,以展示区域/国家差异,并进一步突出其潜在应用。发展中国家(如撒哈拉以南非洲地区)显示出高水平的绝对死亡率以及变化的死亡率不平等,在某些次国家级单位(“热点地区”)存在空间聚集的证据。虽然在发达地区以外观察到更大的不平等,但高死亡率不平等和空间聚集在发达国家和发展中国家都很常见。空间聚集程度与绝对死亡率之间观察到显著的正相关。所提出的多维指标应该被证明对一个国家内医疗资源的空间分配有用,因为它可以促使采取广泛的政策选择并对高风险地区进行优先排序。新指标表明婴儿死亡率作为衡量人口健康的单一指标存在不足,并且它还可以适用于一个国家内更低的行政级别以及其他人口健康衡量指标。

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