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信息处理作为决策的范例。

Information processing as a paradigm for decision making.

机构信息

Anderson School of Management, University of California, Los Angeles, California 90077; email:

出版信息

Annu Rev Psychol. 2015 Jan 3;66:277-94. doi: 10.1146/annurev-psych-010814-015148.

Abstract

For decades, the dominant paradigm for studying decision making--the expected utility framework--has been burdened by an increasing number of empirical findings that question its validity as a model of human cognition and behavior. However, as Kuhn (1962) argued in his seminal discussion of paradigm shifts, an old paradigm cannot be abandoned until a new paradigm emerges to replace it. In this article, we argue that the recent shift in researcher attention toward basic cognitive processes that give rise to decision phenomena constitutes the beginning of that replacement paradigm. Models grounded in basic perceptual, attentional, memory, and aggregation processes have begun to proliferate. The development of this new approach closely aligns with Kuhn's notion of paradigm shift, suggesting that this is a particularly generative and revolutionary time to be studying decision science.

摘要

几十年来,作为研究决策的主流范式——期望效用框架,其有效性作为人类认知和行为模型受到越来越多质疑经验发现的困扰。然而,正如库恩(Kuhn,1962)在其开创性的范式转变讨论中所指出的,在新的范式出现取代它之前,旧的范式不能被抛弃。在本文中,我们认为,研究人员注意力最近转向导致决策现象的基本认知过程,这标志着新范式的出现。基于基本感知、注意力、记忆和聚合过程的模型开始大量涌现。这种新方法的发展与库恩的范式转变概念密切一致,这表明现在是研究决策科学的一个特别富有成效和革命性的时代。

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