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瑞士悖论?瑞士各地方政府收入不平等程度越高,死亡率越低。

A Swiss paradox? Higher income inequality of municipalities is associated with lower mortality in Switzerland.

机构信息

Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Finkenhubelweg 11, 3012, Bern, Switzerland.

Section of Geriatrics, Boston University Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA.

出版信息

Eur J Epidemiol. 2015 Aug;30(8):627-36. doi: 10.1007/s10654-015-9987-7. Epub 2015 Jan 20.

Abstract

It has long been surmised that income inequality within a society negatively affects public health. However, more recent studies suggest there is no association, especially when analyzing small areas. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of income inequality on mortality in Switzerland using the Gini index on municipality level. The study population included all individuals >30 years at the 2000 Swiss census (N = 4,689,545) living in 2,740 municipalities with 35.5 million person-years of follow-up and 456,211 deaths over follow-up. Cox proportional hazard regression models were adjusted for age, gender, marital status, nationality, urbanization, and language region. Results were reported as hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals. The mean Gini index across all municipalities was 0.377 (standard deviation 0.062, range 0.202-0.785). Larger cities, high-income municipalities and tourist areas had higher Gini indices. Higher income inequality was consistently associated with lower mortality risk, except for death from external causes. Adjusting for sex, marital status, nationality, urbanization and language region only slightly attenuated effects. In fully adjusted models, hazards of all-cause mortality by increasing Gini index quintile were HR = 0.99 (0.98-1.00), HR = 0.98 (0.97-0.99), HR = 0.95 (0.94-0.96), HR = 0.91 (0.90-0.92) compared to the lowest quintile. The relationship of income inequality with mortality in Switzerland is contradictory to what has been found in other developed high-income countries. Our results challenge current beliefs about the effect of income inequality on mortality on small area level. Further investigation is required to expose the underlying relationship between income inequality and population health.

摘要

长期以来,人们一直推测社会内部的收入不平等会对公共卫生产生负面影响。然而,最近的研究表明,这种影响并不存在,尤其是在分析小范围区域时。本研究旨在使用市镇层面的基尼指数评估瑞士的收入不平等对死亡率的影响。研究人群包括 2000 年瑞士人口普查中年龄大于 30 岁的所有个体(N=4689545),他们居住在 2740 个市镇,随访时间为 3550 万人年,随访期间有 456211 人死亡。使用 Cox 比例风险回归模型,根据年龄、性别、婚姻状况、国籍、城市化程度和语言区进行了调整。结果以风险比(HR)及其 95%置信区间报告。所有市镇的基尼指数平均值为 0.377(标准差 0.062,范围 0.202-0.785)。较大的城市、高收入市镇和旅游区的基尼指数较高。除了因外部原因导致的死亡外,收入不平等程度越高,死亡率风险越低。仅调整性别、婚姻状况、国籍、城市化程度和语言区,对结果的影响略有减弱。在完全调整后的模型中,基尼指数五分位数每增加一个单位,全因死亡率的风险比(HR)为 0.99(0.98-1.00)、HR=0.98(0.97-0.99)、HR=0.95(0.94-0.96)、HR=0.91(0.90-0.92),与最低五分位数相比。瑞士收入不平等与死亡率之间的关系与其他发达国家的发现相反。我们的结果挑战了关于收入不平等对小范围区域死亡率影响的现有观念。需要进一步调查以揭示收入不平等与人口健康之间的潜在关系。

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