Beller Sieghard, Bender Andrea
Department of Psychosocial Science, Faculty of Psychology, University of Bergen Bergen, Norway.
Front Psychol. 2015 Jan 8;5:1497. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2014.01497. eCollection 2014.
In determining the prime cause of a physical event, people often weight one of two entities in a symmetric physical relation as more important for bringing about the causal effect than the other. In a broad survey (Bender and Beller, 2011), we documented such weighting effects for different kinds of physical events and found that their direction and strength depended on a variety of factors. Here, we focus on one of those: adding a contrast situation that-while being formally irrelevant-foregrounds one of the factors and thus frames the task in a specific way. In two experiments, we generalize and validate our previous findings by using different stimulus material (in Experiment 1), by applying a different response format to elicit causal assignments, an analog rating scale instead of a forced-choice decision (in Experiment 2), and by eliciting explanations for the physical events in question (in both Experiments). The results generally confirm the contrast effects for both response formats; however, the effects were more pronounced with the force-choice format than with the rating format. People tended to refer to the given contrast in their explanations, which validates our manipulation. Finally, people's causal assignments are reflected in the type of explanation given in that contrast and property explanations were associated with biased causal assignments, whereas relational explanations were associated with unbiased assignments. In the discussion, we pick up the normative questions of whether or not these contrast effects constitute a bias in causal reasoning.
在确定物理事件的主要原因时,人们常常会认为处于对称物理关系中的两个实体之一,对于产生因果效应而言比另一个更为重要。在一项广泛的调查中(本德和贝勒,2011年),我们记录了不同类型物理事件中的这种权重效应,并发现其方向和强度取决于多种因素。在此,我们聚焦于其中一个因素:添加一种对比情境,这种情境虽然在形式上无关紧要,但能突出其中一个因素,从而以特定方式构建任务。在两项实验中,我们通过使用不同的刺激材料(实验1)、应用不同的反应格式来引出因果赋值(用模拟评分量表而非强制选择决策,实验2)以及引出对相关物理事件的解释(两项实验均如此),对我们之前的发现进行了推广和验证。结果总体上证实了两种反应格式的对比效应;然而,强制选择格式的效应比评分格式更为显著。人们在解释中倾向于提及给定的对比,这验证了我们的操作。最后,人们的因果赋值反映在该对比中给出的解释类型上,属性解释与有偏差的因果赋值相关,而关系解释与无偏差的赋值相关。在讨论中,我们探讨了这些对比效应是否构成因果推理中的偏差这一规范性问题。