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慢性乙型肝炎病毒感染者的死因:一项基于人群的队列研究。

Causes of death in people with chronic HBV infection: A population-based cohort study.

机构信息

Department of Hepatogastroenterology, Dijon University Hospital, BP 87900, 21079 Dijon, France.

Burgundy University, France; Department of Hepatogastroenterology, Dijon University Hospital, BP 87900, 21079 Dijon, France.

出版信息

J Hepatol. 2015 Jun;62(6):1265-71. doi: 10.1016/j.jhep.2015.01.020. Epub 2015 Jan 24.

Abstract

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Mortality related to hepatitis B virus (HBV) is not well known in developed countries. The aim of this study was to investigate in a population-based cohort the excess risk of death in HBV patients compared with mortality in the general population and to identify risk factors related to all-cause mortality and HBV-related mortality.

METHODS

A specialized population-based registry has recorded data from patients with chronic HBV infection in a population of one million inhabitants in France since 1994. Standardized mortality rates for all-cause death and HBV-related death were calculated. Cumulative mortality rates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariate analysis was performed using a Cox model.

RESULTS

Between 1994 and 2009, 1117 people were diagnosed with chronic HBV infection. Of these 136 (12.2%) died. All-cause mortality was significantly higher in HBV-infected people (standardized mortality ratio (SMR) 1.7 [1.4-2.0]). There was substantial excess mortality due to hepatocellular carcinoma (SMR 15.9 [10-24.1]), non-Hodgkin lymphoma (SMR 8.6 [3.1-18.6]) and liver disease (SMR 10.2 [5.8-16.6]). The cumulative rates for all-cause mortality were 8.6% at 5 years, 12.6% at 10 years and 18.5% at 15 years. The corresponding values for HBV-related mortality were 3.5%, 4.2%, and 5.8%. The multivariate analysis for all-cause mortality and for HBV-related mortality showed that male sex, age over 45 at diagnosis, current alcoholism and nosocomial risk factors were predictors of increased mortality.

CONCLUSION

This study shows increased all-cause mortality in HBsAg-positive patients, with considerable excess mortality due to chronic liver disease, hepatocellular carcinoma and non-Hodgkin lymphoma.

摘要

背景与目的

在发达国家,乙型肝炎病毒(HBV)相关死亡率尚不清楚。本研究旨在通过基于人群的队列研究,调查 HBV 患者的死亡风险是否高于普通人群,并确定与全因死亡率和 HBV 相关死亡率相关的危险因素。

方法

自 1994 年以来,一个专门的基于人群的登记处一直在法国一个拥有 100 万居民的人群中记录慢性 HBV 感染患者的数据。计算了全因死亡和 HBV 相关死亡的标准化死亡率。使用 Kaplan-Meier 方法计算累积死亡率。使用 Cox 模型进行多变量分析。

结果

1994 年至 2009 年间,有 1117 人被诊断为慢性 HBV 感染。其中 136 人(12.2%)死亡。HBV 感染者的全因死亡率明显较高(标准化死亡率比(SMR)为 1.7 [1.4-2.0])。由于肝细胞癌(SMR 15.9 [10-24.1])、非霍奇金淋巴瘤(SMR 8.6 [3.1-18.6])和肝脏疾病(SMR 10.2 [5.8-16.6])导致的死亡率过高。全因死亡率的累积率在 5 年内为 8.6%,在 10 年内为 12.6%,在 15 年内为 18.5%。HBV 相关死亡率的相应值为 3.5%、4.2%和 5.8%。全因死亡率和 HBV 相关死亡率的多变量分析显示,男性、诊断时年龄超过 45 岁、目前酗酒和医院获得性危险因素是死亡率增加的预测因素。

结论

本研究显示 HBsAg 阳性患者的全因死亡率增加,由于慢性肝病、肝细胞癌和非霍奇金淋巴瘤导致死亡率显著增加。

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