Centre for Decision Research, Leeds University Business School, UK.
Centre for Decision Research, Leeds University Business School, UK; Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, USA.
Soc Sci Med. 2015 Mar;128:282-9. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2015.01.029. Epub 2015 Jan 20.
Heat waves pose serious health risks, and are expected to become more frequent, longer lasting, and more intense in the future under a changing climate. Yet, people in the UK seem to feel positive when thinking about hot weather. According to research on the affect heuristic, any positive or negative emotions evoked by potentially risky experiences may be used as cues to inform concerns about risk protection. If so, then their positive feelings toward hot weather might lead UK residents to lower intentions to adopt heat protection behaviors. Here, we examine the relationships between heat protection behaviors during the July 2013 UK heat wave and self-reports of having heard heat protection recommendations, feeling positive affect about heat, seeing heat protection measures as effective, and trusting the organizations making those recommendations. Responses to a national survey revealed that 55.1% of participants had heard heat protection recommendations during the 2013 UK heat wave. Those who reported having heard recommendations also indicated having implemented more heat protection behaviors, perceiving heat protection behaviors as more effective, feeling more positive about heat, and intending to implement more protection behaviors in future hot summers. Mediation analyses suggested that heat protection recommendations may motivate heat protection behaviors by increasing their perceived effectiveness, but undermine their implementation by evoking positive affect about hot weather. We discuss our findings in the context of the affect heuristic and its implications for heat protection communications.
热浪对健康构成严重威胁,在气候变化的背景下,未来热浪将更加频繁、持续时间更长、强度更大。然而,英国人在想到炎热的天气时似乎感觉良好。根据情感启发式的研究,任何潜在风险体验所引起的积极或消极情绪都可能被用作线索,以告知对风险保护的关注。如果是这样,那么他们对炎热天气的积极感受可能会导致英国居民降低采取高温保护行为的意愿。在这里,我们研究了 2013 年 7 月英国热浪期间的高温保护行为与以下方面之间的关系:听说过高温保护建议、对高温有积极的感觉、认为高温保护措施有效、以及对提出这些建议的组织的信任。对全国性调查的回应显示,在 2013 年英国热浪期间,有 55.1%的参与者听说过高温保护建议。那些报告听说过建议的人也表示,他们采取了更多的高温保护行为,认为高温保护行为更有效,对高温的感觉更积极,并打算在未来的炎热夏季采取更多的保护措施。中介分析表明,高温保护建议可以通过提高保护措施的感知效果来激励高温保护行为,但通过引发对炎热天气的积极情绪来破坏保护措施的实施。我们将我们的发现置于情感启发式的背景下,并讨论了它们对高温保护沟通的影响。