O'Connor Constance M, Cooke Steven J
Aquatic Behavioural Ecology Lab, Department of Psychology, Neuroscience and Behaviour, McMaster University, 1280 Main Street West, Hamilton, ON, L8S 4K1, Canada,
Ambio. 2015 Oct;44(6):582-91. doi: 10.1007/s13280-015-0630-3. Epub 2015 Feb 13.
Ecological carryover effects occur when an individual's previous history and experiences explain their current performance. It is becoming clear that ecological carryover effects are a common phenomenon across taxa, and have the potential to play an important role in governing individual fitness and population dynamics. Carryover effects may reduce the success of conservation efforts aimed at slowing or reversing biodiversity loss. Failure to consider carryover effects might lead to erroneous conclusions about the effectiveness of conservation measures. We suggest that carryover effects are considered explicitly in threat assessment and conservation planning, in order to understand the long-term consequences of stressors, target efforts more effectively, and ensure that the success or failure of conservation efforts is tracked more accurately. We encourage proactive research focused on the proximate mechanisms underlying carryover effects, so that predictive measures of carryover effects in wild populations can be developed and refined. Finally, we suggest that in some cases, positive carryover effects could be exploited for conservation benefit. We conclude that the failure to consider carryover effects in conservation science and practice may put imperiled populations at further risk.
当个体的既往经历和经验能够解释其当前表现时,就会出现生态遗留效应。越来越明显的是,生态遗留效应是跨分类群的普遍现象,并且有可能在决定个体适合度和种群动态方面发挥重要作用。遗留效应可能会降低旨在减缓或扭转生物多样性丧失的保护工作的成效。未能考虑遗留效应可能会导致对保护措施有效性得出错误结论。我们建议在威胁评估和保护规划中明确考虑遗留效应,以便了解应激源的长期后果,更有效地确定工作目标,并确保更准确地追踪保护工作的成败。我们鼓励开展前瞻性研究,聚焦于遗留效应背后的近端机制,从而能够开发和完善对野生种群中遗留效应的预测性指标。最后,我们建议在某些情况下,可以利用积极的遗留效应来实现保护效益。我们得出结论,在保护科学和实践中未能考虑遗留效应可能会使濒危种群面临更大风险。