Blakely Tony, Atkinson June, Kvizhinadze Giorgi, Wilson Nick, Davies Anna, Clarke Philip
*Department of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand †Centre for Health Policy, Programs and Economics School of Population Health, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia.
Med Care. 2015 Apr;53(4):302-9. doi: 10.1097/MLR.0000000000000330.
To determine health system expenditure on cancers by time since diagnosis using data for an entire country.
New Zealand cancer registry data was linked to hospitalization, pharmaceutical, outpatient, general practice, laboratory, and other datasets, with costs ascribed to each event occurring in 2006-2011. "Excess" cancer costs were estimated by subtracting "expected costs" for citizens without cancer from the "total cost" for cancer patients ($2011 inflation-adjusted). Gamma regressions were used to estimate costs per person-month.
For first adult cancer diagnosed that the excess cost per person was between US$3400 and US$4300 in the first month postdiagnosis (varied by sex and age), fell to US$50-US$150 per month at 2 or more years postdiagnosis (excluding those within a year of death), but increased again if dying from their cancer (US$3800-US$8300 in the last month of life). Such patterns varied by cancer, for example, in the first month postdiagnosis for 65 year olds it varied 20-fold from US$800 for prostate to US$15,900 for brain cancer. Per diagnosed case, total excess costs varied from US$5000 (melanoma) to US$66,000 (bone and connective tissue) [Corrected]. Excess cancer costs made up 6.5% of total Vote:Health expenditure in 2010-2011, with colorectal (14.7%), breast (14.4%) being the top 2 contributors, and prostate, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, leukemia, and lung each contributing about 6%.
Costs vary substantially by time since diagnosis and cancer type. The results and regression equations reported in this paper can be used in modeling requiring cancer costs by time since diagnosis and proximity to death.
利用一个国家的全部数据来确定自癌症诊断以来卫生系统在癌症方面的支出情况。
将新西兰癌症登记数据与住院、药品、门诊、全科医疗、实验室及其他数据集相链接,对2006 - 2011年发生的每个事件赋予成本。“超额”癌症成本通过从癌症患者的“总成本”(按2011年通货膨胀调整)中减去无癌症公民的“预期成本”来估算。采用伽马回归来估计每人每月的成本。
对于首次诊断为成人癌症的患者,诊断后第一个月每人的超额成本在3400美元至4300美元之间(因性别和年龄而异),诊断后2年或更长时间(不包括死亡前一年内的患者)降至每月50美元至150美元,但如果死于癌症则成本再次上升(生命最后一个月为3800美元至8300美元)。此类模式因癌症类型而异,例如,对于65岁的患者,诊断后第一个月从前列腺癌的800美元到脑癌的15900美元相差20倍。每个确诊病例的总超额成本从5000美元(黑色素瘤)到66000美元(骨与结缔组织癌)不等[已修正]。2010 - 2011年,超额癌症成本占卫生部总支出的6.5%,其中结直肠癌(14.7%)、乳腺癌(14.4%)为主要贡献者,前列腺癌、非霍奇金淋巴瘤、白血病和肺癌各贡献约6%。
成本因自诊断以来的时间和癌症类型而有很大差异。本文报告的结果和回归方程可用于在建模中根据自诊断以来的时间和接近死亡的程度来估算癌症成本。