Alho J M
Department of Statistics, University of Illinois, Urbana 61801.
Demography. 1989 Nov;26(4):705-9.
I address the problem of what can be said of changes in mortality rates, if one knows how life expectancies change. I note a general formula relating life expectancies in different ages to mortality and prove that if mortality changes over time following a proportional-hazard model, then there is a one-to-one correspondence between life expectancy at birth and mortality rates. Extensions and an application of these results to the analysis of mortality change are presented.
如果知道预期寿命如何变化,那么关于死亡率的变化能有哪些结论。我指出了一个将不同年龄段的预期寿命与死亡率相关联的通用公式,并证明如果死亡率随时间按照比例风险模型变化,那么出生时的预期寿命与死亡率之间存在一一对应关系。还给出了这些结果的扩展以及它们在死亡率变化分析中的应用。