Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India.
Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India.
Sci Total Environ. 2015 Aug 1;523:28-39. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.03.066. Epub 2015 Apr 7.
This study describes the effect of pollution transport between East Asia and South Asia on tropospheric ozone (O3) using model results from the Task Force on Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution (TF HTAP). Ensemble mean O3 concentrations are evaluated against satellite-data and ground observations of surface O3 at four stations in India. Although modeled surface O3 concentrations are 1020ppb higher than those observed, the relative magnitude of the seasonal cycle of O3 is reproduced well. Using 20% reductions in regional anthropogenic emissions, we quantify the seasonal variations in pollution transport between East Asia and South Asia. While there is only a difference of 0.05 to 0.1ppb in the magnitudes of the regional contributions from one region to the other, O3 from East Asian sources affects the most densely populated parts of South Asia while Southern Asian sources only partly affect the populated parts of East Asia. We show that emission changes over East Asia between 2000 and 2010 had a larger impact on populated parts of South Asia than vice versa. This study will help inform future decisions on emission control policy over these regions.
本研究利用大气污染半球传输特别工作组(TF HTAP)的模型结果,描述了东亚和南亚之间的污染物传输对对流层臭氧(O3)的影响。根据卫星数据和印度四个站点的地面 O3 观测结果,对集合平均 O3 浓度进行了评估。虽然模型模拟的地表 O3 浓度比观测值高 1020ppb,但 O3 的季节性变化幅度得到了很好的再现。通过减少 20%的区域人为排放,我们量化了东亚和南亚之间的污染物传输的季节性变化。虽然一个地区对另一个地区的区域贡献在量级上只有 0.05 到 0.1ppb 的差异,但来自东亚的 O3 影响了南亚人口最密集的地区,而南亚的 O3 只部分影响了东亚人口密集的地区。我们表明,2000 年至 2010 年间东亚的排放变化对南亚人口密集地区的影响大于反之。本研究将有助于为这些地区的未来排放控制政策决策提供信息。