Finnbjornsdottir Ragnhildur Gudrun, Oudin Anna, Elvarsson Bjarki Thor, Gislason Thorarinn, Rafnsson Vilhjalmur
Centre of Public Health Sciences, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland.
Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
BMJ Open. 2015 Apr 8;5(4):e007272. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2014-007272.
To study the association between daily mortality and short-term increases in air pollutants, both traffic-related and the geothermal source-specific hydrogen sulfide (H₂S).
Population-based, time stratified case-crossover. A lag time to 4 days was considered. Seasonal, gender and age stratification were calculated. Also, the best-fit lag when introducing H₂S >7 µg/m(3) was selected by the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC).
The population of the greater Reykjavik area (n=181,558) during 2003-2009.
Cases were defined as individuals living in the Reykjavik capital area, 18 years or older (N=138,657), who died due to all natural causes (ICD-10 codes A00-R99) other than injury, poisoning and certain other consequences of external causes, or cardiovascular disease (ICD-10 codes I00-I99) during the study period.
Percentage increases in risk of death (IR%) following an interquartile range increase in pollutants.
The total number of deaths due to all natural causes was 7679 and due to cardiovascular diseases was 3033. The interquartile range increased concentrations of H₂S (2.6 µg/m(3)) were associated with daily all natural cause mortality in the Reykjavik capital area. The IR% was statistically significant during the summer season (lag 1: IR%=5.05, 95% CI 0.61 to 9.68; lag 2: IR%=5.09, 95% CI 0.44 to 9.97), among males (lag 0: IR%=2.26, 95% CI 0.23 to 4.44), and among the elderly (lag 0: IR%=1.94, 95% CI 0.12 to 1.04; lag 1: IR%=1.99, 95% CI 0.21 to 1.04), when adjusted for traffic-related pollutants and meteorological variables. The traffic-related pollutants were generally not associated with statistical significant IR%s.
The results suggest that ambient H₂S air pollution may increase mortality in Reykjavik, Iceland. To the best of our knowledge, ambient H₂S exposure has not previously been associated with increased mortality in population-based studies and therefore the results should be interpreted with caution. Further studies are warranted to confirm or refute whether H₂S exposure induces premature deaths.
研究每日死亡率与空气污染物短期增加之间的关联,这些污染物包括与交通相关的污染物以及特定地热源的硫化氢(H₂S)。
基于人群的时间分层病例交叉研究。考虑了长达4天的滞后时间。计算了季节、性别和年龄分层。此外,通过赤池信息准则(AIC)选择引入H₂S>7μg/m³时的最佳拟合滞后时间。
2003年至2009年期间大雷克雅未克地区的人群(n = 181,558)。
病例定义为居住在雷克雅未克首都地区、年龄在18岁及以上(N = 138,657)的个体,他们在研究期间因除伤害、中毒和其他某些外部原因后果之外的所有自然原因(国际疾病分类第十版编码A00 - R99)或心血管疾病(国际疾病分类第十版编码I00 - I99)死亡。
污染物四分位间距增加后死亡风险的百分比增加(IR%)。
所有自然原因导致的死亡总数为7679例,心血管疾病导致的死亡数为3033例。雷克雅未克首都地区,四分位间距增加的H₂S浓度(2.6μg/m³)与每日所有自然原因死亡率相关。在夏季(滞后1:IR% = 5.05,95%置信区间0.61至9.68;滞后2:IR% = 5.09,95%置信区间0.44至9.97)、男性(滞后0:IR% = 2.26,95%置信区间0.23至4.44)以及老年人(滞后0:IR% = 1.94,95%置信区间0.12至1.04;滞后1:IR% = 1.99,95%置信区间0.21至1.04)中,经与交通相关污染物和气象变量校正后,IR%具有统计学意义。与交通相关的污染物通常与具有统计学意义的IR%无关。
结果表明,冰岛雷克雅未克的环境H₂S空气污染可能会增加死亡率。据我们所知,在基于人群的研究中,此前环境H₂S暴露与死亡率增加并无关联,因此对结果的解释应谨慎。有必要进行进一步研究以证实或反驳H₂S暴露是否会导致过早死亡。