Hawkins Guy E, Wagenmakers Eric-Jan, Ratcliff Roger, Brown Scott D
Department of Psychology, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands;
Department of Psychology, The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio; and.
J Neurophysiol. 2015 Jul;114(1):40-7. doi: 10.1152/jn.00088.2015. Epub 2015 Apr 22.
The dominant theoretical paradigm in explaining decision making throughout both neuroscience and cognitive science is known as “evidence accumulation”--The core idea being that decisions are reached by a gradual accumulation of noisy information. Although this notion has been supported by hundreds of experiments over decades of study, a recent theory proposes that the fundamental assumption of evidence accumulation requires revision. The "urgency gating" model assumes decisions are made without accumulating evidence, using only moment-by-moment information. Under this assumption, the successful history of evidence accumulation models is explained by asserting that the two models are mathematically identical in standard experimental procedures. We demonstrate that this proof of equivalence is incorrect, and that the models are not identical, even when both models are augmented with realistic extra assumptions. We also demonstrate that the two models can be perfectly distinguished in realistic simulated experimental designs, and in two real data sets; the evidence accumulation model provided the best account for one data set, and the urgency gating model for the other. A positive outcome is that the opposing modeling approaches can be fruitfully investigated without wholesale change to the standard experimental paradigms. We conclude that future research must establish whether the urgency gating model enjoys the same empirical support in the standard experimental paradigms that evidence accumulation models have gathered over decades of study.
在神经科学和认知科学中,用于解释决策过程的主流理论范式被称为“证据积累”——其核心观点是,决策是通过对有噪声的信息进行逐步积累而达成的。尽管这一概念在数十年的研究中得到了数百项实验的支持,但最近有理论提出,证据积累的基本假设需要修正。“紧急性门控”模型假定决策并非通过积累证据做出,而是仅利用逐时信息。在此假设下,证据积累模型的成功历程被解释为,声称这两种模型在标准实验程序中在数学上是等同的。我们证明这种等效性证明是错误的,而且即使两种模型都添加了现实的额外假设,它们也并不等同。我们还证明,在现实的模拟实验设计以及两个真实数据集当中,这两种模型能够被完美地区分;证据积累模型对其中一个数据集给出了最佳解释,而紧急性门控模型则对另一个数据集给出了最佳解释。一个积极的结果是,无需对标准实验范式进行全面变革,就能够卓有成效地研究这两种相互对立的建模方法。我们得出结论,未来的研究必须确定紧急性门控模型在标准实验范式中是否能获得与证据积累模型在数十年研究中所积累的相同的实证支持。