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Adjusting the incidence increase when screening for statistical lead time will always give estimates of overdiagnosis close to zero.

作者信息

Zahl Per-Henrik

机构信息

Norwegian Institute of Public Health, PO Box 4404, Nydalen, N-0403, Oslo, Norway.

出版信息

Breast Cancer Res. 2014 Jun 4;16(3):404. doi: 10.1186/bcr3671.

DOI:10.1186/bcr3671
PMID:25928223
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4076619/
Abstract
摘要

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Adjusting the incidence increase when screening for statistical lead time will always give estimates of overdiagnosis close to zero.在筛查统计领先时间时调整发病率增加,总是会得出接近零的过度诊断估计值。
Breast Cancer Res. 2014 Jun 4;16(3):404. doi: 10.1186/bcr3671.
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Trends in aggregate cancer incidence rates in relation to screening and possible overdiagnosis: a word of caution.与筛查和可能的过度诊断有关的总体癌症发病率趋势:需要谨慎对待。
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本文引用的文献

1
Overestimated lead times in cancer screening has led to substantial underestimation of overdiagnosis.癌症筛查中过长的领先时间导致了对过度诊断的严重低估。
Br J Cancer. 2013 Oct 1;109(7):2014-9. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2013.427. Epub 2013 Aug 20.
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Overdiagnosis in breast cancer screening: the importance of length of observation period and lead time.乳腺癌筛查中的过度诊断:观察期长度和领先时间的重要性。
Breast Cancer Res. 2013 May 16;15(3):R41. doi: 10.1186/bcr3427.
3
Estimating mean sojourn time and screening sensitivity using questionnaire data on time since previous screening.利用上次筛查以来的时间问卷数据估计平均停留时间和筛查敏感性。
J Med Screen. 2008;15(2):83-90. doi: 10.1258/jms.2008.007071.
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Overdiagnosis, sojourn time, and sensitivity in the Copenhagen mammography screening program.哥本哈根乳腺钼靶筛查项目中的过度诊断、停留时间和敏感度。
Breast J. 2006 Jul-Aug;12(4):338-42. doi: 10.1111/j.1075-122X.2006.00272.x.
5
Overdiagnosis and overtreatment of breast cancer: estimates of overdiagnosis from two trials of mammographic screening for breast cancer.乳腺癌的过度诊断与过度治疗:两项乳腺癌钼靶筛查试验中的过度诊断估计
Breast Cancer Res. 2005;7(6):258-65. doi: 10.1186/bcr1354. Epub 2005 Nov 10.
6
Is the three year breast screening interval too long? Occurrence of interval cancers in NHS breast screening programme's north western region.三年的乳房筛查间隔时间是否过长?英国国家医疗服务体系(NHS)乳房筛查项目西北地区的间期癌发生情况。
BMJ. 1995 Jan 28;310(6974):224-6. doi: 10.1136/bmj.310.6974.224.
7
Simplified models of screening for chronic disease: estimation procedures from mass screening programmes.慢性病筛查简化模型:大规模筛查项目的估计程序
Biometrics. 1984 Mar;40(1):1-14.
8
Modelling the analysis of breast cancer screening programmes: sensitivity, lead time and predictive value in the Florence District Programme (1975-1986).乳腺癌筛查项目分析建模:佛罗伦萨地区项目(1975 - 1986年)中的敏感性、提前期和预测价值
Int J Epidemiol. 1991 Dec;20(4):852-8. doi: 10.1093/ije/20.4.852.