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基于一项大规模回顾性研究的预测胃癌腹腔镜胃切除术后并发症风险的评分系统。

A scoring system to predict the risk of postoperative complications after laparoscopic gastrectomy for gastric cancer based on a large-scale retrospective study.

作者信息

Huang Chang-Ming, Tu Ru-Hong, Lin Jian-Xian, Zheng Chao-Hui, Li Ping, Xie Jian-Wei, Wang Jia-Bin, Lu Jun, Chen Qi-Yue, Cao Long-Long, Lin Mi

机构信息

From the Department of Gastric Surgery, Fujian Medical University Union Hospital, Fuzhou, Fujian Province, China.

出版信息

Medicine (Baltimore). 2015 May;94(17):e812. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000000812.

Abstract

To investigate the risk factors for postoperative complications following laparoscopic gastrectomy (LG) for gastric cancer and to use the risk factors to develop a predictive scoring system.Few studies have been designed to develop scoring systems to predict complications after LG for gastric cancer.We analyzed records of 2170 patients who underwent a LG for gastric cancer. A logistic regression model was used to identify the determinant variables and develop a predictive score.There were 2170 patients, of whom 299 (13.8%) developed overall complications and 78 (3.6%) developed major complications. A multivariate analysis showed the following adverse risk factors for overall complications: age ≥65 years, body mass index (BMI) ≥ 28 kg/m, tumor with pyloric obstruction, tumor with bleeding, and intraoperative blood loss ≥75 mL; age ≥65 years, a Charlson comorbidity score ≥3, tumor with bleeding and intraoperative blood loss ≥75 mL were identified as independent risk factors for major complications. Based on these factors, the authors developed the following predictive score: low risk (no risk factors), intermediate risk (1 risk factor), and high risk (≥2 risk factors). The overall complication rates were 8.3%, 15.6%, and 29.9% for the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk categories, respectively (P < 0.001); the major complication rates in the 3 respective groups were 1.2%, 4.7%, and 10.0% (P < 0.001).This simple scoring system could accurately predict the risk of postoperative complications after LG for gastric cancer. The score might be helpful in the selection of risk-adapted interventions to improve surgical safety.

摘要

探讨胃癌腹腔镜胃切除术(LG)术后并发症的危险因素,并利用这些危险因素建立预测评分系统。很少有研究旨在开发评分系统来预测胃癌LG术后的并发症。我们分析了2170例行胃癌LG患者的记录。采用逻辑回归模型确定决定因素变量并建立预测评分。共有2170例患者,其中299例(13.8%)发生总体并发症,78例(3.6%)发生严重并发症。多因素分析显示总体并发症的以下不良危险因素:年龄≥65岁、体重指数(BMI)≥28kg/m²、伴有幽门梗阻的肿瘤、伴有出血的肿瘤以及术中失血≥75mL;年龄≥65岁、Charlson合并症评分≥3、伴有出血的肿瘤以及术中失血≥75mL被确定为严重并发症的独立危险因素。基于这些因素,作者制定了以下预测评分:低风险(无危险因素)、中度风险(1个危险因素)和高风险(≥2个危险因素)。低、中、高风险组的总体并发症发生率分别为8.3%、15.6%和29.9%(P<0.001);三组各自的严重并发症发生率分别为1.2%、4.7%和10.0%(P<0.001)。这种简单的评分系统可以准确预测胃癌LG术后的并发症风险。该评分可能有助于选择风险适应性干预措施以提高手术安全性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/21de/4603032/7e96eb15cdf6/medi-94-e812-g002.jpg

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