Wagenmakers Eric-Jan, Beek Titia F, Rotteveel Mark, Gierholz Alex, Matzke Dora, Steingroever Helen, Ly Alexander, Verhagen Josine, Selker Ravi, Sasiadek Adam, Gronau Quentin F, Love Jonathon, Pinto Yair
Psychological Methods, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Netherlands.
Social Psychology Program, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Netherlands.
Front Psychol. 2015 Apr 24;6:494. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2015.00494. eCollection 2015.
In a series of four experiments, Topolinski and Sparenberg (2012) found support for the conjecture that clockwise movements induce psychological states of temporal progression and an orientation toward the future and novelty. Here we report the results of a preregistered replication attempt of Experiment 2 from Topolinski and Sparenberg (2012). Participants turned kitchen rolls either clockwise or counterclockwise while answering items from a questionnaire assessing openness to experience. Data from 102 participants showed that the effect went slightly in the direction opposite to that predicted by Topolinski and Sparenberg (2012), and a preregistered Bayes factor hypothesis test revealed that the data were 10.76 times more likely under the null hypothesis than under the alternative hypothesis. Our findings illustrate the theoretical importance and practical advantages of preregistered Bayes factor replication studies, both for psychological science and for empirical work in general.
在一系列四项实验中，托波林斯基和斯帕伦贝格（2012年）发现了对如下推测的支持：顺时针运动会引发时间进程的心理状态以及对未来和新奇事物的取向。在此，我们报告了一项对托波林斯基和斯帕伦贝格（2012年）实验2的预注册复制尝试的结果。参与者在回答一份评估经验开放性的问卷项目时，将厨房纸卷顺时针或逆时针转动。来自102名参与者的数据表明，该效应的方向与托波林斯基和斯帕伦贝格（2012年）预测的方向略有相反，并且一项预注册的贝叶斯因子假设检验显示，在零假设下数据出现的可能性比在备择假设下高10.76倍。我们的研究结果说明了预注册贝叶斯因子复制研究对于心理学科学以及一般实证工作的理论重要性和实际优势。
