Dadi Abel Fekadu
Institute of public health, college of medicine and health science, University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia.
PLoS One. 2015 May 22;10(5):e0126759. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0126759. eCollection 2015.
Even though Ethiopia has been celebrating the achievements of MDG 4, still one in every 17 Ethiopian children dies before their first birthday. This is the biggest of the African regional average. Short birth interval is inconsistently reported as a risk factor by limited and independent studies in Ethiopia. Therefore, the purpose of this meta-analysis was to determine the pooled effect size of the preceding birth interval length on infant mortality.
Studies were accessed through the electronic web-based search mechanism from PUBMED, Advanced Google Scholar, WHO databases and journals: PLOS ONE, and BMC, using independent and combinations of key terms. Comprehensive meta-analysis version 2 was used to analyze the data. An I2 test was used to assess heterogeneity. Funnel plot and statistical significance by Egger's test of the intercept was used to check publication bias. The final estimate was determined in the form of odds ratio by applying Duval and Tweedie's trim and fill analysis in the Random-effects model.
872 studies were identified on the reviewed topic. During screening, forty-five studies were found to be relevant for data abstraction. However, only five studies fulfilled the inclusion criteria and were included in the analysis. In all of the studies included in the analysis, the preceding birth interval had a significant association with under-one mortality. The final pooled estimate in the form of the odds ratio for infant mortality with a preceding birth interval of less than 24 months was found to be 2.03 (95% CI: 1.52, 2.70, random effect (five studies, n=43,909), I2=70%, P<0.05).
In Ethiopia, promoting the length of birth interval to at least two years lowered under-one mortality by 50% (95% CI: 35%, 63%).
尽管埃塞俄比亚一直在庆祝千年发展目标4所取得的成就,但仍有每17名埃塞俄比亚儿童中有1名在周岁前死亡。这一比例高于非洲地区平均水平。在埃塞俄比亚,有限的独立研究对短生育间隔作为一个风险因素的报道并不一致。因此,本荟萃分析的目的是确定前次生育间隔时长对婴儿死亡率的合并效应量。
通过基于网络的电子检索机制,从PubMed、高级谷歌学术、世界卫生组织数据库以及期刊《公共科学图书馆·综合》(PLOS ONE)和《生物医学中心》(BMC)中检索研究,使用独立的关键词及组合关键词。采用综合荟萃分析版本2对数据进行分析。使用I²检验评估异质性。通过漏斗图和Egger截距检验的统计学显著性来检查发表偏倚。在随机效应模型中应用Duval和Tweedie的修剪和填充分析,以比值比的形式确定最终估计值。
在审查的主题上共识别出872项研究。在筛选过程中,发现45项研究与数据提取相关。然而,只有5项研究符合纳入标准并被纳入分析。在分析中纳入的所有研究中,前次生育间隔与1岁以下儿童死亡率有显著关联。对于前次生育间隔少于24个月的婴儿死亡率,最终以比值比形式的合并估计值为2.03(95%置信区间:1.52, 2.70,随机效应(5项研究,n = 43,909),I² = 70%,P < 0.05)。
在埃塞俄比亚,将生育间隔时长延长至至少两年可使1岁以下儿童死亡率降低5%(95%置信区间:35%,63%)。