Susuman A Sathiya
Dept. of Statistics, University of the Western Cape, Cape Town, South Africa.
Iran J Public Health. 2012;41(3):9-19. Epub 2012 Mar 31.
Ethiopia's childhood mortality has continued to decline although at a swift pace. The drop in urban childhood mortality decline, duration of breastfeeding is the principle reason for the overall decline in mortality trends in Ethiopia. Data from the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Surveys 2000 and 2005 were used. Indirect estimation of Brass and Trussell's methods were adopted. Selected demographic and socio-economic variables were included in the analysis with statistically significant effects. Findings clearly show neonatal and post neonatal mortality decline gradually. Even though, Ethiopia's childhood mortality rates are still high. The result shows less than 2 years birth interval have higher infant mortality rates than higher birth interval (113 deaths per 1000). The proper spacing of births allows more time for childcare to make more maternal resources available for the care of the child and mother. Therefore, further research is urgent for regional level and national level investigation.
埃塞俄比亚儿童死亡率虽有所下降,但下降速度较快。城市儿童死亡率下降,母乳喂养时长是埃塞俄比亚总体死亡率趋势下降的主要原因。使用了2000年和2005年埃塞俄比亚人口与健康调查的数据。采用了布拉斯和特鲁塞尔方法的间接估计法。分析中纳入了具有统计学显著影响的选定人口和社会经济变量。研究结果清楚地表明新生儿和新生儿后期死亡率逐渐下降。尽管如此,埃塞俄比亚的儿童死亡率仍然很高。结果显示,生育间隔小于2年的婴儿死亡率高于生育间隔较长的情况(每1000例中有113例死亡)。适当的生育间隔能为育儿留出更多时间,使更多产妇资源可用于照顾孩子和母亲。因此,迫切需要在区域和国家层面进行进一步研究。